PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

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Yes

10.5¢

No

89.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Unanimous

Yes 100%

Include 3 outside the consensus pool3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x2516…d95f	Yes	$203	10.4¢	0.6×	+8%	31%	Profitable
0x2b62…438c	Yes	$34	7.6¢	1.9×	+33%	55%	Sharp
0xf205…90b7	Yes	$11	11.0¢	0.1×	+34%	78%	Sharp

0x2516…d95fProfitable

Yes$203 @ 10.4¢

Conv: 0.6×
ROI: +8%
Win%: 31%

0x2b62…438cSharp

Yes$34 @ 7.6¢

Conv: 1.9×
ROI: +33%
Win%: 55%

0xf205…90b7Sharp

Yes$11 @ 11.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +34%
Win%: 78%