← Smart money
0x7818…d185
SharpEdge
+5.7pp
ROI
+46%
Win rate
35% @ 29.3¢
Brier
0.137
Resolved
3683
Avg size
$97
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 48% (44/91) | +25% | 91 |
| Other | 57% (29/51) | -11% | 51 |
| Sports | 24% (9/38) | +136% | 38 |
| Geopolitics | 63% (15/24) | -13% | 24 |
| Crypto | 60% (3/5) | +18% | 5 |
| Economy | 100% (4/4) | +44% | 4 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -94% | 3 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics91 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (44/91)
- ROI
- +25%
- Other51 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (29/51)
- ROI
- -11%
- Sports38 bets
- Hit rate
- 24% (9/38)
- ROI
- +136%
- Geopolitics24 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (15/24)
- ROI
- -13%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +18%
- Economy4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +44%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -94%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
48% hit · 105/217- No$264 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$165 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$70 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$189 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$21 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$125 @ 62.0¢
- No$180 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$118 @ 42.8¢
- No$1.7k @ 66.8¢
- Yes$12.8k @ 27.3¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 5.1¢
- Yes$59 @ 7.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 42.2¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 66.7¢
- No$812 @ 23.7¢
- Yes$452 @ 58.2¢
- Yes$654 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 12.5¢
- Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 51.9¢
- No$2.6k @ 60.5¢
- Yes$83 @ 12.9¢
- No$840 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$188 @ 75.2¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 69.1¢
- Yes$162 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$125 @ 62.0¢
- No$1.9k @ 53.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 85.7¢
- Yes$45 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$301 @ 60.2¢
- No$529 @ 12.0¢
- No$104 @ 69.2¢
- No$148 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$14.2k @ 5.5¢
- No$95 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$207 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 34.4¢
- No$4.3k @ 80.9¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 24.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 64.2¢
- Yes$693 @ 25.3¢
- Yes$9.6k @ 11.1¢
- No$984 @ 70.3¢
- Yes$59 @ 3.9¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$8.2k @ 82.3¢
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7.1k @ 92.2¢
- No$7.1k @ 84.2¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 73.2¢
- No$4.8k @ 70.7¢
- No$4.7k @ 93.2¢
- No$3.5k @ 86.3¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$2.8k @ 94.7¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 89.0¢
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$2.0k @ 78.6¢
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.8k @ 90.4¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsNo$1.7k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 43.1¢
- No$1.4k @ 96.5¢
- No$1.3k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 46.8¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 51.1¢
- No$981 @ 69.3¢
- Yes$886 @ 54.0¢
- No$883 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$880 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$880 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$757 @ 62.2¢
- No$714 @ 71.4¢
- No$674 @ 67.4¢
- Yes$648 @ 17.6¢
- No$587 @ 80.9¢
- No$568 @ 93.7¢
- No$563 @ 39.0¢