0xd8d5…8935

Specialization by sphere

• Politics11 bets

  Hit rate

  82% (9/11)

  ROI

  +23%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +16%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +47%

• Other1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
  Yes$699 @ 34.5¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
  No$356 @ 89.0¢
• Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Won
  No$4 @ 86.0¢
• Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Won
  Yes$206 @ 68.0¢
• Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
  No$699 @ 34.5¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 49.0¢
• Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 10.7¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Won
  Yes$232 @ 77.4¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$447 @ 27.9¢
• Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
  Yes$3.2k @ 81.0¢
• o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?Lost
  No$63 @ 8.6¢
• Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Won
  No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
• Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Won
  No$3.3k @ 81.5¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?Lost
  Yes$120 @ 29.9¢
• Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?Won
  Yes$122 @ 81.1¢
• Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?Won
  Yes$198 @ 79.0¢

Current positions

• Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics
  Yes$8.1k @ 87.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$7.5k @ 94.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?Other
  No$6.0k @ 96.6¢
• Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics
  No$5.8k @ 83.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
  No$4.9k @ 82.5¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4.8k @ 83.8¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$4.5k @ 96.6¢
• Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Politics
  No$4.4k @ 93.0¢
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Politics
  No$4.2k @ 99.5¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Tech
  No$4.2k @ 98.2¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?Tech
  No$3.8k @ 95.2¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Politics
  No$3.2k @ 95.8¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?—
  No$3.1k @ 92.5¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.9k @ 99.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 68.0¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 90.1¢
• Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics
  Yes$2.7k @ 96.1¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$2.7k @ 56.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other
  No$2.6k @ 99.4¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 95.3¢
• Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 89.3¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 98.5¢
• Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Politics
  No$2.3k @ 95.0¢
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 92.0¢
• Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 97.7¢
• Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 85.5¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Other
  No$2.1k @ 99.3¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 93.7¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Politics
  Yes$2.0k @ 74.2¢