0x6640…2202

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6640bd87f6e4b6e8d62457448bd1b3a4711a2202
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.8pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

60% @ 50.5¢

Brier

0.123

Resolved

5036

Avg size

$183

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (96/166)	+13%	166
Politics	66% (50/76)	+25%	76
Geopolitics	25% (1/4)	-83%	4
Sports	50% (1/2)	-35%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+291%	1

Other166 bets
Hit rate
58% (96/166)
ROI
+13%
Politics76 bets
Hit rate
66% (50/76)
ROI
+25%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-83%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-35%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+291%

Track record

60% hit · 149/249

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$3.4k	79.8¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$198	3.4¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?	No	$284	71.0¢	Lost
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$9.1k	64.1¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$636	53.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	No	$132	46.0¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2.6k	13.9¢	Lost
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$838	66.0¢	Won
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$20	17.3¢	Lost
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$777	55.7¢	Lost
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$1.6k	68.0¢	Won
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$660	66.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4.3k	37.3¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$580	58.0¢	Won
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$2.8k	79.8¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	No	$1.1k	61.5¢	Won
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$1.2k	83.0¢	Won
Stars vs. Flyers	Flyers	$468	39.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$15.1k	61.3¢	Won
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$320	81.0¢	Won
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$613	15.8¢	Lost
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?	Yes	$24	1.6¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$960	64.0¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	62.8¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	$2.3k	40.7¢	Lost
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	$200	20.0¢	Lost
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	$750	15.0¢	Won
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	$2.6k	69.4¢	Lost
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$7.3k	84.0¢	Won
Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	$107	43.8¢	Won
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?	Yes	$143	28.5¢	Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	Yes	$3.5k	36.5¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$7.6k	67.2¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$20.6k	76.4¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$10.8k	75.0¢	Won
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	No	$3.1k	88.0¢	Won
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$1.2k	84.0¢	Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$473	11.6¢	Lost
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.2k	82.1¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$5.0k	44.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$19.5k	82.7¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$3.6k	38.5¢	Lost
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$860	86.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$42	1.0¢	Lost
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$489	11.6¢	Lost
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$3.7k	71.8¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$6.3k	79.4¢	Won
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$1.2k	60.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$1.2k	80.0¢	Won

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 79.8¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Lost
Yes$198 @ 3.4¢
Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Lost
No$284 @ 71.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
Yes$9.1k @ 64.1¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$636 @ 53.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Won
No$132 @ 46.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2.6k @ 13.9¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Won
No$838 @ 66.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$20 @ 17.3¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Lost
No$777 @ 55.7¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 68.0¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Lost
No$660 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.3k @ 37.3¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$580 @ 58.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$2.8k @ 79.8¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Won
No$1.1k @ 61.5¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Stars vs. FlyersWon
Flyers$468 @ 39.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$15.1k @ 61.3¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
Yes$320 @ 81.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$613 @ 15.8¢
Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?Lost
Yes$24 @ 1.6¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$960 @ 64.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$2.0k @ 62.8¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Lost
No$2.3k @ 40.7¢
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Lost
Yes$200 @ 20.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionWon
No$750 @ 15.0¢
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionLost
Yes$2.6k @ 69.4¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Won
Yes$7.3k @ 84.0¢
Will Anthony Kennedy attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
No$107 @ 43.8¢
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Lost
Yes$143 @ 28.5¢
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 36.5¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$7.6k @ 67.2¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$20.6k @ 76.4¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$10.8k @ 75.0¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Won
No$3.1k @ 88.0¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Lost
No$1.2k @ 84.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
Yes$473 @ 11.6¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 82.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Lost
Yes$5.0k @ 44.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$19.5k @ 82.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$3.6k @ 38.5¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$860 @ 86.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$42 @ 1.0¢
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?Lost
Yes$489 @ 11.6¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 71.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$6.3k @ 79.4¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 60.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Won
No$1.2k @ 80.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$57.5k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$57.5k	50.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$7.3k	70.2¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$6.0k	79.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	49.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.2k	23.2¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$3.1k	87.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.5k	49.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Culture	Yes	$2.3k	97.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$990	33.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$914	44.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$489	68.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$378	57.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$271	14.1¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$189	63.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Politics	Yes	$183	90.9¢
Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Politics	No	$63	87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$56	51.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$52	52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$21	51.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$57.5k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$57.5k @ 50.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$7.3k @ 70.2¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
No$6.0k @ 79.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$3.9k @ 49.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.2k @ 23.2¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$3.1k @ 87.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.5k @ 49.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture
Yes$2.3k @ 97.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$990 @ 33.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$914 @ 44.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$489 @ 68.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$378 @ 57.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$271 @ 14.1¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$189 @ 63.0¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics
Yes$183 @ 90.9¢
Will Andrew Feinstein win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Politics
No$63 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$56 @ 51.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
No$21 @ 51.0¢