0x6575…b198

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+9.3pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

56% @ 47.1¢

Brier

0.058

Resolved

670

Avg size

$1.0k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	35% (7/20)	+6%	20
Other	0% (0/10)	-100%	10
Sports	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Politics20 bets
Hit rate
35% (7/20)
ROI
+6%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/10)
ROI
-100%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Track record

21% hit · 7/34

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	$444	9.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$346	2.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	$25	7.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	$275	0.7¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	$989	11.8¢	Lost
Patriots vs. Seahawks	Patriots	$7	44.0¢	Lost
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	No	$8.7k	60.0¢	Won
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$54	35.4¢	Lost
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	0.6¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$115	19.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	Yes	$176	1.8¢	Lost
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$784	10.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$56.9k	21.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$438.3k	77.1¢	Won
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?	No	$394	12.0¢	Lost
Lions vs. Bills	Lions	$105	8.9¢	Lost
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$93	4.9¢	Lost
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$17.9k	27.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?	Yes	$2.1k	22.0¢	Lost
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$37.9k	46.3¢	Lost
Cardinals vs. 49ers	Cardinals	$996	5.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	$5.2k	30.5¢	Lost
Chargers vs. Bills	Chargers	$23	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$12.0k	12.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.4k	1.9¢	Lost
Dolphins vs. 49ers	Dolphins	$5.5k	11.0¢	Lost
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$1.9k	23.2¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$39.5k	79.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$271	9.0¢	Lost
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3.9k	24.0¢	Won
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$1.0k	24.0¢	Won
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$51.3k	83.3¢	Won
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$8.2k	22.8¢	Lost

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Lost
Yes$444 @ 9.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$346 @ 2.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?Lost
Yes$25 @ 7.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?Lost
Yes$275 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Lost
No$989 @ 11.8¢
Patriots vs. SeahawksLost
Patriots$7 @ 44.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Won
No$8.7k @ 60.0¢
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$54 @ 35.4¢
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 0.6¢
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
Yes$115 @ 19.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?Lost
Yes$176 @ 1.8¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$784 @ 10.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$56.9k @ 21.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$438.3k @ 77.1¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?Lost
No$394 @ 12.0¢
Lions vs. BillsLost
Lions$105 @ 8.9¢
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$93 @ 4.9¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
No$17.9k @ 27.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 22.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$37.9k @ 46.3¢
Cardinals vs. 49ersLost
Cardinals$996 @ 5.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Lost
Yes$5.2k @ 30.5¢
Chargers vs. BillsLost
Chargers$23 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$12.0k @ 12.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$1.4k @ 1.9¢
Dolphins vs. 49ersLost
Dolphins$5.5k @ 11.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
No$1.9k @ 23.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$39.5k @ 79.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$271 @ 9.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$3.9k @ 24.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
No$1.0k @ 24.0¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
No$51.3k @ 83.3¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$8.2k @ 22.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$187.0k	66.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$42.3k	15.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	No	$29.9k	92.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$21.1k	16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$6.6k	6.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Business	Yes	$6.0k	59.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	19.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$2.8k	50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$1.9k	41.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$586	26.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$449	26.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tech	Yes	$424	17.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Business	Yes	$341	87.0¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Politics	Yes	$187	20.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Tech	No	$27	77.0¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$187.0k @ 66.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$42.3k @ 15.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
No$29.9k @ 92.5¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$21.1k @ 16.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$6.6k @ 6.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
Yes$6.0k @ 59.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 19.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$2.8k @ 50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$1.9k @ 41.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$586 @ 26.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$449 @ 26.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech
Yes$424 @ 17.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Business
Yes$341 @ 87.0¢
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics
Yes$187 @ 20.3¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?Tech
No$27 @ 77.0¢