← Smart money
0x2516…d95f
ProfitableEdge
-18.8pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
31% @ 49.7¢
Brier
0.380
Resolved
68
Avg size
$327
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 30% (3/10) | +7% | 10 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | +224% | 2 |
| Culture | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics10 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (3/10)
- ROI
- +7%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +224%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 4/13- Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 73.6¢
- No$15.1k @ 87.0¢
- No$378 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$372 @ 86.4¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 23.5¢
- No$8 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 33.5¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 70.3¢
- Yes$64 @ 25.0¢
- No$119 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 17.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $19.8k | 14.6¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Politics | Yes | $203 | 10.4¢ |
- Yes$19.8k @ 14.6¢
- Yes$203 @ 10.4¢