0xd632…8afb

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd6321c049c527e8a622d6aa35f514ae74f798afb
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.6pp

ROI

+30%

Win rate

31% @ 25.7¢

Brier

0.137

Resolved

3583

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	33% (180/543)	-0%	543
Politics	34% (46/136)	+81%	136
Tech	44% (39/88)	+41%	88
Culture	52% (16/31)	-24%	31
Economy	39% (9/23)	+71%	23
Crypto	42% (8/19)	+8%	19
Geopolitics	31% (5/16)	+102%	16
Sports	57% (4/7)	+4%	7
Science	33% (1/3)	+10%	3
Business	50% (1/2)	-87%	2

Other543 bets
Hit rate
33% (180/543)
ROI
-0%
Politics136 bets
Hit rate
34% (46/136)
ROI
+81%
Tech88 bets
Hit rate
44% (39/88)
ROI
+41%
Culture31 bets
Hit rate
52% (16/31)
ROI
-24%
Economy23 bets
Hit rate
39% (9/23)
ROI
+71%
Crypto19 bets
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
ROI
+8%
Geopolitics16 bets
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
ROI
+102%
Sports7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+4%
Science3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+10%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-87%

Track record

36% hit · 309/868

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	$268	59.2¢	Won
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?	No	$242	65.6¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$0	13.0¢	Lost
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$16	80.7¢	Won
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$104	37.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	5.1¢	Lost
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	7.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$59	57.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	$137	72.6¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	25.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$8	79.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$34	22.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$53	63.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$42	21.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	28.3¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$105	75.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	5.1¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	$11	57.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$32	24.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	$86	67.2¢	Won
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	14.4¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Lost
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	No	$75	33.8¢	Lost
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$178	52.8¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$9	4.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	5.7¢	Lost
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$24	96.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	5.3¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	$3	35.4¢	Lost
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$39	18.9¢	Won
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	$142	71.0¢	Won
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$90	30.0¢	Won
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?	Yes	$65	25.9¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$152	18.1¢	Lost
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$191	0.9¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$111	10.0¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	$4	79.0¢	Won
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?	Yes	$18	0.2¢	Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$100	1.0¢	Lost
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?	No	$278	62.3¢	Lost
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?	Yes	$367	39.3¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	Yes	$28	13.8¢	Lost
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Won
Yes$268 @ 59.2¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?Won
No$242 @ 65.6¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$0 @ 13.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$16 @ 80.7¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$104 @ 37.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.1¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 7.2¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$59 @ 57.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$137 @ 72.6¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 25.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$34 @ 22.0¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$53 @ 63.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 28.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$105 @ 75.0¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 5.1¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Lost
No$11 @ 57.0¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$32 @ 24.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$86 @ 67.2¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$25 @ 14.4¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Lost
No$75 @ 33.8¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$178 @ 52.8¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 4.2¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 5.7¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$24 @ 96.0¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 35.4¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$39 @ 18.9¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Won
No$142 @ 71.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$90 @ 30.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Lost
Yes$65 @ 25.9¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$152 @ 18.1¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Lost
No$191 @ 0.9¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Lost
Yes$111 @ 10.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Lost
No$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
Yes$4 @ 79.0¢
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 10?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.2¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$100 @ 1.0¢
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Lost
No$278 @ 62.3¢
Will GenesisCupChampion win the Genesis Cup?Won
Yes$367 @ 39.3¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Lost
Yes$28 @ 13.8¢
Will Jorge Bom Jesus win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$1.3k	50.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$450	38.9¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Culture	No	$367	92.0¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Crypto	No	$353	59.0¢
Will Japan take second place in Miss Universe 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$316	89.0¢
Will Namibia take second place in Miss Universe 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$283	92.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	Yes	$245	81.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$233	30.1¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Politics	Yes	$208	73.9¢
Will Spain take second place in Miss Universe 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$203	93.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	Yes	$202	43.9¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$188	94.0¢
Will Vox win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$186	93.0¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$186	93.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$186	93.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$184	92.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$179	89.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	Economy	No	$173	66.2¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Economy	Yes	$172	44.5¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$166	47.9¢
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $21m and $24m at auction?	Culture	No	$153	76.7¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?	Politics	No	$143	89.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Politics	No	$138	92.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	No	$131	92.8¢
Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	Yes	$125	68.2¢
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$123	95.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Politics	Yes	$120	71.6¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$120	60.0¢
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $30m and $40m at auction?	Culture	Yes	$116	38.7¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$1.3k @ 50.0¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $9.00 on November 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$450 @ 38.9¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
No$367 @ 92.0¢
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
No$353 @ 59.0¢
Will Japan take second place in Miss Universe 2026?Geopolitics
No$316 @ 89.0¢
Will Namibia take second place in Miss Universe 2026?Geopolitics
No$283 @ 92.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
Yes$245 @ 81.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$233 @ 30.1¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics
Yes$208 @ 73.9¢
Will Spain take second place in Miss Universe 2026?Geopolitics
No$203 @ 93.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
Yes$202 @ 43.9¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$188 @ 94.0¢
Will Vox win the most seats in La Rioja in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Granada in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$184 @ 92.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in the Basque Country in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$179 @ 89.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?Economy
No$173 @ 66.2¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy
Yes$172 @ 44.5¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$166 @ 47.9¢
Will Claude Monet's “Le Jardin des Tuileries” sell for between $21m and $24m at auction?Culture
No$153 @ 76.7¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics
No$143 @ 89.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics
No$138 @ 92.0¢
Will Podemos win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
No$131 @ 92.8¢
Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
Yes$125 @ 68.2¢
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$123 @ 95.0¢
Will PP win the most seats in Huesca in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
Yes$120 @ 71.6¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $30m and $40m at auction?Culture
Yes$116 @ 38.7¢