0x944e…8c94

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.0pp

ROI

+12%

Win rate

58% @ 49.4¢

Brier

0.156

Resolved

6217

Avg size

$160

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (203/374)	+14%	374
Sports	47% (54/116)	-12%	116
Politics	54% (45/83)	+21%	83
Culture	33% (1/3)	+154%	3
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other374 bets
Hit rate
54% (203/374)
ROI
+14%
Sports116 bets
Hit rate
47% (54/116)
ROI
-12%
Politics83 bets
Hit rate
54% (45/83)
ROI
+21%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
+154%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Track record

53% hit · 305/578

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$667	20.0¢	Lost
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$902	32.7¢	Lost
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubai	BC Dubai	$240	20.0¢	Lost
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	$864	72.0¢	Lost
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$889	40.0¢	Won
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$6.1k	82.3¢	Won
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5	Over	$2.2k	49.0¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$733	33.0¢	Lost
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Over	$955	43.0¢	Won
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$145	29.0¢	Lost
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$128	4.4¢	Lost
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.0k	52.0¢	Won
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$2.0k	61.9¢	Won
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$206	82.4¢	Won
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.1k	50.0¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$711	26.5¢	Lost
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?	Yes	$8	13.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$225	15.0¢	Lost
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$1000	45.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.7k	8.3¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$200	10.0¢	Lost
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?	No	$1.1k	48.0¢	Lost
Miami vs. Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	$320	32.0¢	Lost
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$1.4k	64.1¢	Won
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	$135	27.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.1k	49.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$1.2k	54.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$778	35.0¢	Lost
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$1.2k	41.5¢	Won
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.3k	57.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$1.2k	53.3¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$1.9k	30.9¢	Lost
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5	Under	$622	28.0¢	Lost
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$510	51.0¢	Lost
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/ABOP?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Lost
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?	No	$700	35.0¢	Lost
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$149	29.0¢	Lost
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?	Yes	$294	8.2¢	Lost
Falcons vs. Saints	Falcons	$564	47.0¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$2.0k	68.3¢	Won
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	$63	9.0¢	Lost
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	No	$667	30.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.9k	48.0¢	Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$79	6.4¢	Lost
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$165	53.0¢	Lost
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Won
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	$1.0k	47.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?	Yes	$824	53.0¢	Won
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score	No	$1.2k	36.7¢	Lost

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$667 @ 20.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$902 @ 32.7¢
Panathinaikos vs. BC DubaiLost
BC Dubai$240 @ 20.0¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Lost
No$864 @ 72.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$889 @ 40.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
Yes$6.1k @ 82.3¢
Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Lost
Over$2.2k @ 49.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Lost
No$733 @ 33.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Won
Over$955 @ 43.0¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Lost
Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Lost
Yes$128 @ 4.4¢
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.0k @ 52.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 61.9¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Won
Yes$206 @ 82.4¢
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/NPS?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.1k @ 50.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$711 @ 26.5¢
Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
No$225 @ 15.0¢
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1000 @ 45.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 8.3¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Lost
Yes$200 @ 10.0¢
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Lost
No$1.1k @ 48.0¢
Miami vs. PittsburghLost
Pittsburgh$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 64.1¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Won
No$135 @ 27.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1.1k @ 49.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$1.2k @ 54.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$778 @ 35.0¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 41.5¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.3k @ 57.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 53.3¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 30.9¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Lost
Under$622 @ 28.0¢
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$510 @ 51.0¢
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/VHP/ABOP?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?Lost
No$700 @ 35.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$149 @ 29.0¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?Lost
Yes$294 @ 8.2¢
Falcons vs. SaintsWon
Falcons$564 @ 47.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 68.3¢
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Lost
Yes$63 @ 9.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Lost
No$667 @ 30.0¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$1.9k @ 48.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$79 @ 6.4¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Lost
No$165 @ 53.0¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Won
Colombia$1.0k @ 47.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?Won
Yes$824 @ 53.0¢
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$1.2k @ 36.7¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$13.1k	50.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$8.0k	81.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$6.5k	70.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	Yes	$4.3k	43.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	51.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.6k	49.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$3.2k	59.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.4k	45.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$2.2k	24.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$2.2k	57.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$2.1k	42.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$2.1k	31.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$2.0k	23.4¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.0k	70.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	29.5¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.0k	52.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	45.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.6k	45.1¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.4k	64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	54.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	54.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	67.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	66.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.2k	41.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.0k	70.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$952	51.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$939	88.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$925	37.0¢

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$13.1k @ 50.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$8.0k @ 81.9¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$6.5k @ 70.3¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
Yes$4.3k @ 43.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
Yes$3.9k @ 51.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$3.6k @ 49.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
No$3.2k @ 59.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.4k @ 45.5¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$2.2k @ 24.6¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$2.2k @ 57.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$2.1k @ 42.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$2.1k @ 31.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$2.0k @ 23.4¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2.0k @ 70.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$2.0k @ 29.5¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
Yes$2.0k @ 52.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 31.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 45.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$1.6k @ 45.1¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.4k @ 64.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 54.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 54.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 66.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.2k @ 41.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.0k @ 70.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$952 @ 51.8¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$939 @ 88.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$925 @ 37.0¢