0x3dca…3c13

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics359 bets

  Hit rate

  72% (258/359)

  ROI

  +15%

• Other179 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (97/179)

  ROI

  +19%

• Sports16 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (9/16)

  ROI

  +32%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +13%

• Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Won
  No$38 @ 94.0¢
• Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 26.9¢
• Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 25.9¢
• Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$102 @ 22.2¢
• Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$45 @ 15.0¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Lost
  No$1 @ 20.0¢
• Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$163 @ 24.7¢
• Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$52 @ 19.8¢
• Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$129 @ 24.2¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$110 @ 24.5¢
• Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$83 @ 19.0¢
• Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$138 @ 23.0¢
• Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Lost
  No$165 @ 33.0¢
• Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$103 @ 9.9¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 13.9¢
• Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?Lost
  No$17 @ 24.0¢
• Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?Lost
  No$79 @ 28.0¢
• US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Lost
  No$855 @ 96.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$200 @ 56.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
  No$100 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Lost
  Yes$145 @ 28.9¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  Yes$376 @ 37.6¢
• Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Won
  Yes$21.3k @ 64.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?Won
  Yes$410 @ 77.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?Lost
  Yes$344 @ 20.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
  Yes$10.0k @ 66.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseWon
  No$4.6k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
  No$5.8k @ 70.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 49.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 57.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$5.2k @ 77.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
  No$62 @ 63.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 62.9¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Lost
  No$77 @ 54.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$10 @ 64.0¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$56 @ 71.0¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$900 @ 24.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$3.5k @ 69.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$2.2k @ 73.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$167 @ 25.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$540 @ 27.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 19.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$336 @ 92.5¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  No$25.0k @ 94.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$28 @ 70.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Won
  Yes$209 @ 94.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$1000 @ 33.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Won
  No$687 @ 73.1¢
• Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?Won
  No$1.2k @ 94.0¢

Current positions

• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$27.0k @ 90.0¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$11.5k @ 92.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$7.0k @ 76.0¢
• Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
  No$6.4k @ 91.8¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
  No$5.7k @ 27.9¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?—
  No$5.6k @ 80.9¢
• Maduro out by March 31, 2026?—
  No$4.1k @ 59.8¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.7k @ 74.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3.3k @ 78.9¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.7k @ 12.0¢
• Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Politics
  Yes$2.5k @ 33.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 48.0¢
• Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 48.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 27.0¢
• Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 67.3¢
• Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 89.2¢
• Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
  Yes$910 @ 12.4¢
• Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics
  Yes$904 @ 45.2¢
• US strikes Nigeria by December 31?—
  No$855 @ 96.0¢
• Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$766 @ 60.5¢
• Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?—
  Yes$704 @ 6.7¢
• Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
  Yes$670 @ 23.0¢
• Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?—
  Yes$641 @ 31.1¢
• Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
  Yes$614 @ 33.7¢
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$536 @ 2.7¢
• Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Politics
  Yes$524 @ 24.7¢
• Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?—
  Yes$521 @ 21.0¢
• Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$478 @ 2.4¢
• Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?—
  No$400 @ 40.0¢
• Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?—
  No$396 @ 29.0¢