← Smart money
0x3dca…3c13
SharpEdge
+8.3pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
47% @ 38.7¢
Brier
0.146
Resolved
1678
Avg size
$249
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 52% (33/63) | +18% | 63 |
| Other | 52% (23/44) | +8% | 44 |
| Sports | 33% (1/3) | -58% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Politics63 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (33/63)
- ROI
- +18%
- Other44 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (23/44)
- ROI
- +8%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -58%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
Track record
52% hit · 58/111- Yes$272 @ 37.3¢
- No$840 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$826 @ 51.6¢
- No$5.1k @ 82.6¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 11.8¢
- Yes$304 @ 28.0¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?WonNo$48 @ 76.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$7.7k @ 18.9¢
- No$100 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$116 @ 58.3¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?LostYes$4 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 62.1¢
- Yes$600 @ 9.6¢
- Yes$197 @ 57.0¢
- No$5.8k @ 27.9¢
- Yes$21 @ 1.1¢
- No$16.8k @ 70.4¢
- Yes$20.9k @ 31.3¢
- No$82 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 70.7¢
- No$5.1k @ 81.0¢
- No$17 @ 84.0¢
- No$6.8k @ 74.7¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 55.9¢
- Yes$489 @ 2.4¢
- No$640 @ 85.5¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 83.6¢
- Yes$38 @ 83.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$660 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 13.1¢
- Yes$13 @ 82.3¢
- No$519 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$76 @ 13.6¢
- Yes$175 @ 6.1¢
- No$4.5k @ 82.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 20.3¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 33.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 38.7¢
- No$1.2k @ 83.8¢
- No$552 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 38.2¢
- Yes$157 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$630 @ 33.7¢
- Yes$272 @ 55.8¢
- Yes$2.8k @ 64.4¢
- Yes$5.4k @ 77.3¢
- No$6.8k @ 85.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$27.0k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$21.3k @ 64.0¢
- No$19.0k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$11.5k @ 92.0¢
- No$8.6k @ 91.8¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.4k @ 91.8¢
- Yes$4.6k @ 50.4¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 87.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 46.0¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 52.9¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 69.2¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 95.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 90.1¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 86.6¢
- Yes$2.4k @ 62.2¢
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$2.2k @ 73.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 95.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 49.6¢
- No$1.7k @ 57.6¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 94.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 94.2¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 12.4¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 94.2¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 49.6¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 90.0¢
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?PoliticsYes$1.4k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 95.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 94.3¢