0x5136…0e4f

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics47 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (29/47)

  ROI

  +12%

• Sports41 bets

  Hit rate

  76% (31/41)

  ROI

  +7%

• Other37 bets

  Hit rate

  32% (12/37)

  ROI

  +33%

• Culture20 bets

  Hit rate

  70% (14/20)

  ROI

  +29%

• Tech19 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (13/19)

  ROI

  +15%

• Economy5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  +5%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +134%

• Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Won
  No$29 @ 73.4¢
• Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Won
  No$11 @ 80.0¢
• Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Won
  No$24 @ 79.8¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Lost
  No$105 @ 49.2¢
• Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?Won
  No$38 @ 55.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Won
  No$12 @ 82.0¢
• Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$167 @ 78.7¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Won
  No$7 @ 87.2¢
• Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Lost
  No$18 @ 67.4¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 37 and 39 million views on day 2?Won
  No$6 @ 71.0¢
• Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Lost
  No$6 @ 20.0¢
• Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?Won
  No$24 @ 79.0¢
• Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Won
  No$1 @ 24.4¢
• Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Won
  No$51 @ 85.4¢
• Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Won
  No$1 @ 52.3¢
• Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Lost
  No$28 @ 15.0¢
• Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$130 @ 86.4¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Won
  No$200 @ 80.2¢
• Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$4 @ 28.0¢
• Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Lost
  No$1 @ 5.0¢
• Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?Won
  No$0 @ 4.0¢
• Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Won
  No$46 @ 76.0¢
• Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$101 @ 88.1¢
• Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Won
  No$94 @ 78.0¢
• Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?Won
  No$8 @ 83.0¢
• Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Won
  No$8 @ 25.0¢
• Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$439 @ 48.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Lost
  No$9 @ 46.0¢
• Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
  No$33 @ 64.9¢
• Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Lost
  No$6 @ 29.6¢
• Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Won
  No$16 @ 86.7¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2?Won
  No$23 @ 80.1¢
• Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$25 @ 64.6¢
• Will Keyd Stars Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?Lost
  No$74 @ 49.0¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.5¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?Won
  No$10 @ 50.0¢
• Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?Won
  No$22 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Won
  No$153 @ 50.5¢
• Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?Won
  No$20 @ 80.0¢
• Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$110 @ 73.0¢
• Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Won
  No$22 @ 89.6¢
• Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$143 @ 55.3¢
• Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
  No$25 @ 58.2¢
• Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?Lost
  No$1 @ 3.1¢
• Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  No$49 @ 32.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Won
  No$200 @ 84.0¢
• Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$83 @ 66.1¢
• Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Won
  No$100 @ 68.2¢
• Will Taylor Hall win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?Won
  No$18 @ 89.0¢

Current positions

• Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$443 @ 98.9¢
• Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$443 @ 98.9¢
• Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$442 @ 98.8¢
• Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$441 @ 98.7¢
• Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$441 @ 98.6¢
• Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$441 @ 98.6¢
• Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$440 @ 98.4¢
• Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$439 @ 98.3¢
• Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$438 @ 97.9¢
• Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$437 @ 97.7¢
• Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$435 @ 97.4¢
• Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$431 @ 96.3¢
• Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$403 @ 90.1¢
• Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$375 @ 83.8¢
• Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$368 @ 82.3¢
• Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$358 @ 80.1¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
  No$255 @ 82.8¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
  No$250 @ 81.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
  No$220 @ 71.1¢
• Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$220 @ 99.2¢
• Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$220 @ 99.0¢
• Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$220 @ 99.0¢
• Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$205 @ 99.0¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
  No$195 @ 63.2¢
• Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Sports
  No$173 @ 99.1¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
  Yes$167 @ 11.1¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?Politics
  Yes$167 @ 11.1¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$150 @ 20.0¢
• Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Culture
  No$146 @ 97.4¢
• Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
  Yes$132 @ 11.1¢