0x5136…0e4f

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Sports496 bets

  Hit rate

  25% (122/496)

  ROI

  -5%

• Politics379 bets

  Hit rate

  29% (110/379)

  ROI

  -8%

• Other249 bets

  Hit rate

  55% (137/249)

  ROI

  +10%

• Tech114 bets

  Hit rate

  31% (35/114)

  ROI

  -9%

• Culture76 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (39/76)

  ROI

  +3%

• Economy51 bets

  Hit rate

  31% (16/51)

  ROI

  +3%

• Geopolitics15 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (5/15)

  ROI

  -5%

• Business4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  -2%

• Science1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +134%

• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$136 @ 32.5¢
• Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Won
  No$6 @ 25.2¢
• Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?Won
  No$15 @ 49.0¢
• Will Charles Emmanuel as Akaza (Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Brazilian Portuguese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Lost
  No$1 @ 2.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Won
  No$22 @ 88.3¢
• Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Won
  No$25 @ 84.9¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$459 @ 70.5¢
• Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$101 @ 22.3¢
• Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Won
  No$41 @ 72.0¢
• Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
  No$1 @ 49.0¢
• Will "On The Way" by AiNA THE END (DAN DA DAN Season 2) win Best Anime Opening Sequence at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.9¢
• Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?Lost
  No$13 @ 35.9¢
• Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Lost
  No$83 @ 55.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Lost
  No$4 @ 36.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Won
  Yes$8 @ 63.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
  No$288 @ 36.0¢
• Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?Won
  No$44 @ 87.0¢
• Will "Anya Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3)" win Best Anime "Must Protect At All Costs" Character at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Lost
  No$1 @ 3.0¢
• Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Lost
  No$1 @ 9.0¢
• Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Won
  No$0 @ 40.0¢
• Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Won
  No$29 @ 73.4¢
• Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Won
  No$136 @ 83.0¢
• Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Won
  No$152 @ 42.8¢
• Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Lost
  No$7 @ 22.0¢
• Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?Won
  No$18 @ 70.5¢
• Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?Lost
  No$37 @ 61.1¢
• Will "ZENSHU" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Won
  No$16 @ 67.0¢
• Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Lost
  No$3 @ 9.8¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
  No$496 @ 80.5¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$3.5k @ 82.3¢
• Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
  No$22 @ 40.6¢
• Will China’s CPI increase by at least 0.9% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?Won
  No$22 @ 85.4¢
• Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  No$13 @ 66.0¢
• Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Lost
  No$9 @ 30.7¢
• Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
  No$655 @ 77.7¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$726 @ 80.1¢
• Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
  No$23 @ 89.9¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Won
  No$667 @ 58.8¢
• Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Won
  No$1 @ 50.2¢
• Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Won
  No$265 @ 76.1¢
• Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?Lost
  No$4 @ 17.0¢
• Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Lost
  No$1 @ 2.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Lost
  No$22 @ 86.1¢
• Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Won
  No$28 @ 63.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Lost
  No$18 @ 69.5¢
• Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Won
  No$11 @ 80.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Won
  No$17 @ 33.9¢
• Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 65.0¢
• Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Won
  No$13 @ 51.8¢
• Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Lost
  No$5 @ 17.0¢

Current positions

• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  No$9.9k @ 50.0¢
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics
  Yes$9.9k @ 50.0¢
• Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports
  No$500 @ 83.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$376 @ 16.1¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$305 @ 75.8¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$149 @ 19.8¢
• Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$126 @ 99.9¢
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$126 @ 99.8¢
• Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$126 @ 99.8¢
• Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$126 @ 99.8¢
• Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$126 @ 99.7¢
• Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$125 @ 99.6¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$123 @ 97.5¢
• Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
  No$114 @ 88.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Tech
  No$109 @ 78.2¢
• Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports
  Yes$102 @ 17.0¢
• Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Business
  No$100 @ 74.3¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$92 @ 23.0¢
• Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Business
  No$82 @ 62.6¢
• Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
  No$67 @ 92.0¢
• Will AL be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
  No$62 @ 87.6¢
• Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
  No$60 @ 91.7¢
• Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
  No$55 @ 77.0¢
• Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
  No$53 @ 75.0¢
• Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Business
  No$51 @ 78.4¢
• Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
  No$45 @ 64.0¢
• Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$45 @ 1.1¢
• Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 1.1¢
• Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$44 @ 1.1¢
• Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 17m?Culture
  Yes$42 @ 19.9¢