0x274e…648c

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics172 bets

  Hit rate

  34% (58/172)

  ROI

  +19%

• Other120 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (46/120)

  ROI

  +44%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Won
  No$78 @ 98.5¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Lost
  No$2.2k @ 62.1¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
  Yes$284 @ 56.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?Lost
  Yes$84 @ 27.9¢
• Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?Lost
  Yes$84 @ 84.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?Won
  Yes$14 @ 37.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Won
  Yes$512 @ 32.0¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$7 @ 6.7¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Current positions

• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 50.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election by 0%-5%?Politics
  No$974 @ 95.5¢
• Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$846 @ 7.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$643 @ 47.2¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$447 @ 4.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 6% or more?Politics
  No$393 @ 85.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more?Politics
  No$380 @ 92.1¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan run 0 to 3 points behind Amy Klobuchar?Politics
  Yes$371 @ 81.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5% or more?Politics
  No$338 @ 89.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-26 House election by 10%-15%?—
  No$265 @ 98.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?Politics
  No$230 @ 76.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-25 House election by 3%-6%?Politics
  Yes$207 @ 90.3¢
• Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Culture
  Yes$192 @ 8.6¢
• Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics
  No$188 @ 94.0¢
• Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics
  Yes$185 @ 59.8¢
• Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Politics
  No$181 @ 98.8¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?Politics
  No$177 @ 91.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 12%-15%?Politics
  No$172 @ 81.8¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 6% or more?Politics
  No$165 @ 78.0¢
• Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?Politics
  No$163 @ 85.6¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 20%-25%?Politics
  Yes$162 @ 21.5¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan run ahead of Amy Klobuchar?Politics
  No$159 @ 79.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 15%-18%?Politics
  No$147 @ 84.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-11 House election by 30%-35%?Politics
  No$139 @ 79.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-02 House election by 18% or more?Politics
  No$132 @ 96.5¢
• Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$123 @ 92.1¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 0%-3%?Politics
  Yes$120 @ 26.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Politics
  Yes$119 @ 30.4¢
• Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?Politics
  Yes$111 @ 13.4¢