← Smart money
0xd86d…648d
SharpEdge
+11.6pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
73% @ 61.7¢
Brier
0.149
Resolved
681
Avg size
$484
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 66% (75/113) | +19% | 113 |
| Politics | 88% (30/34) | +20% | 34 |
| Sports | 44% (7/16) | -16% | 16 |
| Science | 100% (3/3) | +9% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other113 bets
- Hit rate
- 66% (75/113)
- ROI
- +19%
- Politics34 bets
- Hit rate
- 88% (30/34)
- ROI
- +20%
- Sports16 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (7/16)
- ROI
- -16%
- Science3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +9%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
69% hit · 115/167- Yes$5 @ 93.8¢
- No$5 @ 97.7¢
- No$4 @ 90.1¢
- Yes$154 @ 96.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 89.7¢
- No$160 @ 99.0¢
- No$5 @ 89.0¢
- No$4 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 95.9¢
- No$5 @ 97.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
- No$652 @ 92.5¢
- No$3 @ 95.9¢
- Yes$6.8k @ 83.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 93.2¢
- No$4.9k @ 81.4¢
- No$5 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 86.0¢
- No$367 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 61.0¢
- Makhachev$1.9k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 14.7¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 65.3¢
- No$1 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$346 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$343 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 28.0¢
- Shevchenko$275 @ 55.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 76.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 16.0¢
- Panama$348 @ 58.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 87.6¢
- No$6.1k @ 78.8¢
- Yes$316 @ 83.8¢
- No$6.5k @ 65.0¢
- PARIVISION$246 @ 71.4¢
- Over$490 @ 49.0¢
- Under$250 @ 50.0¢
- No$100 @ 27.0¢
- No$800 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$132 @ 22.0¢
- No$3.0k @ 86.1¢
- Yes$333 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 87.3¢
- No$1.7k @ 86.5¢
- No$13.1k @ 83.5¢
- No$477 @ 73.3¢
- Yes$8.1k @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$50.3k @ 50.0¢
- No$50.3k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$15.3k @ 71.5¢
- Yes$9.2k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 66.0¢
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.1k @ 71.0¢
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2.1k @ 71.0¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 19.0¢
- Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$1.4k @ 98.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 86.0¢
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?PoliticsYes$505 @ 28.8¢
- No$218 @ 76.2¢
- No$10 @ 95.0¢
- No$5 @ 96.0¢
- No$5 @ 95.6¢
- No$5 @ 88.0¢
- No$5 @ 88.0¢
- Viktor Orbán arrested by...?PoliticsNo$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 53.0¢
- No$5 @ 95.0¢
- No$5 @ 86.0¢
- No$5 @ 88.9¢
- No$5 @ 91.0¢
- No$5 @ 81.1¢
- No$5 @ 92.0¢
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$5 @ 90.0¢
- No$5 @ 90.0¢
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?GeopoliticsNo$5 @ 95.5¢
- No$5 @ 96.6¢
- Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$5 @ 93.0¢