0xe90a…06b7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.3pp

ROI

+79%

Win rate

41% @ 35.2¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

617

Avg size

$16

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	53% (100/188)	+111%	188
Sports	25% (6/24)	-0%	24
Politics	30% (7/23)	+14%	23
Crypto	33% (1/3)	-21%	3
Culture	100% (2/2)	+22%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+23%	1

Other188 bets
Hit rate
53% (100/188)
ROI
+111%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
25% (6/24)
ROI
-0%
Politics23 bets
Hit rate
30% (7/23)
ROI
+14%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-21%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%

Track record

49% hit · 117/241

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
North Korea missile test by September 15?	No	$15	87.0¢	Won
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	$27	82.0¢	Won
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$197	24.1¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$52	1.4¢	Lost
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	$25	87.0¢	Won
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$46	26.1¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$7	42.2¢	Won
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	Yes	$7	60.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$29	9.3¢	Lost
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Won
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?	Yes	$1	53.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$9	68.9¢	Won
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$75	7.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Lost
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Flames vs. Stars	Stars	$1	69.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	5.2¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$7	23.4¢	Lost
Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?	No	$37	88.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$5	32.4¢	Lost
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	37.0¢	Won
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	$18	81.0¢	Lost
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	$48	9.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	$315	68.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$555	2.2¢	Lost
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?	Yes	$3	48.3¢	Lost
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$148	17.4¢	Won
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?	Yes	$4	22.2¢	Lost
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?	Yes	$5	90.0¢	Won
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$5	55.0¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	0.5¢	Lost
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?	Yes	$1	6.9¢	Lost
England leading at halftime?	Yes	$15	67.6¢	Lost
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?	No	$22	84.6¢	Won
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$28	9.1¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advance	Canada	$30	75.0¢	Won
Arsenal wins the Premier League?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Will MrBeast say "Bathroom" or "Toilet" during his next video?	No	$5	40.0¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?	Yes	$25	71.8¢	Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$13	65.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6	0.8¢	Lost

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
North Korea missile test by September 15?Won
No$15 @ 87.0¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
No$27 @ 82.0¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$197 @ 24.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
No$25 @ 87.0¢
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$46 @ 26.1¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$7 @ 42.2¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 60.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$29 @ 9.3¢
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Won
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?Won
Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$9 @ 68.9¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$75 @ 7.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?Lost
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Flames vs. StarsWon
Stars$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.2¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$7 @ 23.4¢
Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?Won
No$37 @ 88.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$5 @ 32.4¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 37.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Lost
No$18 @ 81.0¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
M$48 @ 9.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
SD$315 @ 68.6¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$555 @ 2.2¢
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?Lost
Yes$3 @ 48.3¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$148 @ 17.4¢
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 22.2¢
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?Won
Yes$5 @ 90.0¢
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?Won
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Lost
Yes$5 @ 55.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.9¢
England leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$15 @ 67.6¢
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?Won
No$22 @ 84.6¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$28 @ 9.1¢
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to AdvanceWon
Canada$30 @ 75.0¢
Arsenal wins the Premier League?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Will MrBeast say "Bathroom" or "Toilet" during his next video?Lost
No$5 @ 40.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Lost
Yes$25 @ 71.8¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Lost
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 65.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$943	69.7¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	No	$400	34.9¢
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Crypto	No	$310	88.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$200	99.8¢
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?	Culture	No	$188	98.4¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?	Politics	No	$101	97.8¢
Trump out as President by September 30?	Politics	No	$100	99.9¢
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?	Culture	No	$69	98.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$50	96.1¢
Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?	Culture	No	$49	98.7¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?	Politics	No	$37	74.0¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Politics	No	$36	71.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$22	87.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$18	92.0¢
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?	Politics	Yes	$18	31.5¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Politics	No	$9	80.0¢
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$7	1.6¢
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$6	1.3¢
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$4	73.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Economy	No	$3	90.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2	45.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	Politics	No	$1	27.0¢
Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	Politics	Yes	$1	1.4¢
Will Msciwoj Swigon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?	Politics	Yes	$1	0.6¢
Will JV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	Politics	Yes	$1	1.9¢

Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$943 @ 69.7¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
No$400 @ 34.9¢
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Crypto
No$310 @ 88.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$200 @ 99.8¢
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?Culture
No$188 @ 98.4¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?Politics
No$101 @ 97.8¢
Trump out as President by September 30?Politics
No$100 @ 99.9¢
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?Culture
No$69 @ 98.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics
No$50 @ 96.1¢
Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?Culture
No$49 @ 98.7¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Politics
No$37 @ 74.0¢
Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics
No$36 @ 71.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$22 @ 87.0¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$18 @ 92.0¢
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Politics
Yes$18 @ 31.5¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Politics
No$9 @ 80.0¢
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$7 @ 1.6¢
Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$6 @ 1.3¢
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$4 @ 73.0¢
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy
No$3 @ 90.0¢
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2 @ 45.0¢
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Axel Conradi be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Politics
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Msciwoj Swigon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Politics
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will JV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Politics
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢