0xe90a…06b7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe90a1d76243084d9deeb3f049d8e2ce1102806b7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.8pp

ROI

+58%

Win rate

38% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.169

Resolved

831

Avg size

$18

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	52% (124/237)	+86%	237
Politics	42% (23/55)	+11%	55
Sports	25% (6/24)	-0%	24
Crypto	20% (1/5)	-77%	5
Culture	100% (3/3)	+8%	3
Tech	100% (2/2)	+0%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+23%	1
Economy	100% (1/1)	+11%	1
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other237 bets
Hit rate
52% (124/237)
ROI
+86%
Politics55 bets
Hit rate
42% (23/55)
ROI
+11%
Sports24 bets
Hit rate
25% (6/24)
ROI
-0%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-77%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+8%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+0%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+23%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+11%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 161/329

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Lost
Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Won
North Korea missile test by September 15?	No	$15	87.0¢	Won
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	No	$27	82.0¢	Won
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$197	24.1¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$52	1.4¢	Lost
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	$25	87.0¢	Won
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$46	26.1¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$7	42.2¢	Won
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$129	8.4¢	Lost
South Africa leading at halftime?	Yes	$11	13.5¢	Lost
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$405	70.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?	No	$2	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?	Yes	$7	60.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$29	9.3¢	Lost
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Won
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	$100	76.0¢	Won
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?	Yes	$1	53.0¢	Won
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$9	68.9¢	Won
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	$69	40.6¢	Lost
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?	Over	$63	44.0¢	Lost
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$75	7.7¢	Lost
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$25	62.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Lost
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	22.0¢	Lost
Flames vs. Stars	Stars	$1	69.0¢	Won
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$16	5.2¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$7	23.4¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$25	48.0¢	Won
Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?	No	$37	88.0¢	Won
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$5	32.4¢	Lost
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	37.0¢	Won
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	$18	81.0¢	Lost
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?	No	$2	86.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$409	68.2¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$3	16.0¢	Won
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?	No	$6	30.0¢	Lost
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?	Yes	$20	50.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	$48	9.0¢	Won
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	$315	68.6¢	Lost
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$555	2.2¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?	Yes	$130	34.0¢	Lost
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?	Yes	$3	48.3¢	Lost
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$148	17.4¢	Won
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?	Yes	$4	22.2¢	Lost
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	Yes	$1	0.9¢	Lost
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?	Yes	$5	90.0¢	Won

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Japan leading at halftime?Won
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
North Korea missile test by September 15?Won
No$15 @ 87.0¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
No$27 @ 82.0¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$197 @ 24.1¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$52 @ 1.4¢
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
No$25 @ 87.0¢
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$46 @ 26.1¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Won
No$7 @ 42.2¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
Yes$129 @ 8.4¢
South Africa leading at halftime?Lost
Yes$11 @ 13.5¢
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
Yes$405 @ 70.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Lost
No$2 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 11?Lost
Yes$7 @ 60.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$29 @ 9.3¢
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?Won
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Won
Yes$100 @ 76.0¢
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?Won
Yes$1 @ 53.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$9 @ 68.9¢
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Lost
No$69 @ 40.6¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%?Lost
Over$63 @ 44.0¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$75 @ 7.7¢
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$25 @ 62.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 10?Lost
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Flames vs. StarsWon
Stars$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$16 @ 5.2¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Lost
No$7 @ 23.4¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?Won
Yes$25 @ 48.0¢
Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?Won
No$37 @ 88.0¢
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Lost
Yes$5 @ 32.4¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 37.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Lost
No$18 @ 81.0¢
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?Won
No$2 @ 86.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$409 @ 68.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$3 @ 16.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?Lost
No$6 @ 30.0¢
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?Won
Yes$20 @ 50.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
M$48 @ 9.0¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
SD$315 @ 68.6¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Lost
Yes$555 @ 2.2¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be less than 82%?Lost
Yes$130 @ 34.0¢
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?Lost
Yes$3 @ 48.3¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$148 @ 17.4¢
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Lost
Yes$4 @ 22.2¢
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?Won
Yes$5 @ 90.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.5k	99.2¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Crypto	Yes	$567	93.2¢
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?	Culture	No	$547	98.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Politics	No	$409	85.2¢
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$397	53.9¢
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?	Tech	No	$373	93.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Politics	No	$196	81.9¢
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$137	56.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Politics	Yes	$97	17.6¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?	Crypto	No	$72	91.0¢
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$70	88.4¢
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?	Culture	No	$69	96.7¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Politics	Yes	$63	11.8¢
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?	Crypto	No	$43	85.0¢
Sweden snap election called in 2026?	Politics	No	$41	82.0¢
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?	Politics	No	$38	99.8¢

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.5k @ 99.2¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Crypto
Yes$567 @ 93.2¢
Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?Culture
No$547 @ 98.0¢
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
No$409 @ 85.2¢
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$397 @ 53.9¢
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Tech
No$373 @ 93.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Politics
No$196 @ 81.9¢
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Geopolitics
No$137 @ 56.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Politics
Yes$97 @ 17.6¢
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?Crypto
No$72 @ 91.0¢
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Geopolitics
No$70 @ 88.4¢
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?Culture
No$69 @ 96.7¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Politics
Yes$63 @ 11.8¢
Will fomo.family be acquired in 2026?Crypto
No$43 @ 85.0¢
Sweden snap election called in 2026?Politics
No$41 @ 82.0¢
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
No$38 @ 99.8¢