← Smart money
0x993b…deda
ProfitableEdge
+3.3pp
ROI
+4%
Win rate
54% @ 50.7¢
Brier
0.177
Resolved
1949
Avg size
$42
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 53% (101/191) | +4% | 191 |
| Sports | 48% (47/98) | +1% | 98 |
| Politics | 64% (61/95) | +2% | 95 |
| Tech | 63% (10/16) | +6% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 64% (9/14) | -7% | 14 |
| Crypto | 29% (4/14) | +13% | 14 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | +7% | 2 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +30% | 1 |
- Other191 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (101/191)
- ROI
- +4%
- Sports98 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (47/98)
- ROI
- +1%
- Politics95 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (61/95)
- ROI
- +2%
- Tech16 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (10/16)
- ROI
- +6%
- Geopolitics14 bets
- Hit rate
- 64% (9/14)
- ROI
- -7%
- Crypto14 bets
- Hit rate
- 29% (4/14)
- ROI
- +13%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +7%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +30%
Track record
54% hit · 234/431- Yes$12 @ 55.0¢
- No$427 @ 83.7¢
- No$569 @ 98.6¢
- No$228 @ 93.6¢
- Yes$65 @ 55.0¢
- No$340 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$299 @ 30.8¢
- No$84 @ 80.8¢
- Yes$42 @ 41.0¢
- PARIVISION$38 @ 54.0¢
- Over$199 @ 79.0¢
- No$7 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 32.3¢
- No$178 @ 89.0¢
- No$468 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 23.0¢
- Over$137 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$126 @ 30.8¢
- Yes$233 @ 8.6¢
- No$123 @ 76.6¢
- Team Falcons$64 @ 70.6¢
- No$425 @ 41.7¢
- Over$135 @ 67.0¢
- No$412 @ 82.0¢
- No$125 @ 77.4¢
- No$270 @ 82.0¢
- No$56 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$31 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$138 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$203 @ 39.2¢
- Over$42 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$90 @ 19.2¢
- No$89 @ 26.6¢
- No$24 @ 15.9¢
- No$129 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$478 @ 62.9¢
- No$131 @ 42.9¢
- Yes$570 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$145 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$128 @ 5.0¢
- No$308 @ 77.0¢
- No$86 @ 16.0¢
- Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?WonNo$69 @ 76.3¢
- FUT Esports$67 @ 54.8¢
- MOUZ$120 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$66 @ 65.0¢
- Over$174 @ 69.0¢
- No$250 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 37.6¢
- Yes$348 @ 87.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$930 @ 93.0¢
- No$855 @ 71.4¢
- No$840 @ 84.0¢
- Modi out by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$800 @ 80.0¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$689 @ 86.1¢
- Yes$659 @ 72.7¢
- Yes$595 @ 85.0¢
- No$498 @ 83.0¢
- No$477 @ 86.0¢
- No$457 @ 81.8¢
- Yes$427 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$403 @ 71.9¢
- No$391 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$379 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$334 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$324 @ 81.0¢
- No$311 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$291 @ 62.8¢
- Yes$290 @ 48.3¢
- No$275 @ 68.7¢
- No$268 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$234 @ 78.1¢
- No$205 @ 73.0¢
- No$189 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$156 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$145 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$103 @ 14.5¢
- Yes$89 @ 59.6¢
- Yes$31 @ 57.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 64.0¢