← Smart money
0x9cb9…7b80
SharpEdge
+11.0pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
58% @ 46.7¢
Brier
0.175
Resolved
3163
Avg size
$51
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (118/234) | +21% | 234 |
| Politics | 57% (73/127) | +36% | 127 |
| Sports | 45% (5/11) | -12% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (3/4) | -12% | 4 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +15% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +63% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Culture | 100% (1/1) | +37% | 1 |
- Other234 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (118/234)
- ROI
- +21%
- Politics127 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (73/127)
- ROI
- +36%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (5/11)
- ROI
- -12%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- -12%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +15%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +63%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +37%
Track record
53% hit · 203/382- No$530 @ 78.0¢
- No$225 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 78.0¢
- No$360 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 77.0¢
- No$1.3k @ 91.8¢
- No$1.8k @ 71.5¢
- No$89 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$315 @ 63.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Yes$179 @ 51.0¢
- Yes$162 @ 94.1¢
- Yes$205 @ 82.0¢
- No$180 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$188 @ 75.0¢
- No$83 @ 54.2¢
- No$985 @ 98.5¢
- No$230 @ 92.0¢
- Opp.$295 @ 59.0¢
- No$428 @ 85.5¢
- No$1.5k @ 97.4¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$490 @ 65.3¢
- No$441 @ 81.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 25.7¢
- Yes$33 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 35.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$500 @ 54.2¢
- No$155 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 39.6¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.3¢
- No$289 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$23 @ 4.6¢
- No$173 @ 57.5¢
- No$100 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$167 @ 14.8¢
- No$201 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
- No$1 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.4¢
- No$165 @ 80.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 83.3¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 14.0¢
- No$49 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$331 @ 12.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$5.0k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$3.7k @ 93.3¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 85.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 64.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 41.1¢
- No$1.1k @ 84.0¢
- Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$999 @ 95.1¢
- Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$902 @ 90.2¢
- No$873 @ 87.3¢
- Yes$591 @ 90.9¢
- Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$454 @ 67.2¢
- Yes$440 @ 18.9¢
- No$431 @ 86.2¢
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$412 @ 93.1¢
- No$392 @ 78.4¢
- No$309 @ 70.4¢
- Yes$281 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$280 @ 80.0¢
- Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$268 @ 94.2¢
- No$235 @ 74.6¢
- Yes$207 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$202 @ 8.4¢
- Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$201 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 62.9¢
- No$117 @ 38.3¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$97 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 21.7¢
- Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?PoliticsNo$48 @ 89.0¢