0x558f…1a56

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+6.1pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

62% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.240

Resolved

662

Avg size

$248

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	64% (141/222)	+8%	222
Politics	41% (31/75)	+0%	75
Sports	66% (42/64)	+12%	64
Science	40% (18/45)	-2%	45
Culture	60% (9/15)	+0%	15
Tech	38% (3/8)	-19%	8
Economy	57% (4/7)	+14%	7

Other222 bets
Hit rate
64% (141/222)
ROI
+8%
Politics75 bets
Hit rate
41% (31/75)
ROI
+0%
Sports64 bets
Hit rate
66% (42/64)
ROI
+12%
Science45 bets
Hit rate
40% (18/45)
ROI
-2%
Culture15 bets
Hit rate
60% (9/15)
ROI
+0%
Tech8 bets
Hit rate
38% (3/8)
ROI
-19%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
57% (4/7)
ROI
+14%

Track record

57% hit · 248/436

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 29?	Yes	$3	5.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on September 28?	Yes	$4	7.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 28?	Yes	$2	3.7¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.5¢	Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?	Yes	$11	14.3¢	Lost
Spread: Vikings (-4.5)	Buccaneers	$3.2k	68.0¢	Lost
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$29	39.0¢	Lost
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$72	94.6¢	Won
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$50	66.0¢	Won
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$44	59.0¢	Won
Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$53	70.0¢	Lost
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	No	$52	69.0¢	Won
Spread: Ravens (-1.5)	Cowboys	$4.8k	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Ravens	$1.9k	48.0¢	Lost
Spread: Saints (-4.5)	Raiders	$2.5k	56.0¢	Won
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5	Under	$3.2k	50.0¢	Lost
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5	Over	$700	42.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on September 27?	Yes	$5	4.8¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or higher on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on September 29?Lost
Yes$3 @ 5.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on September 28?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on September 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.5¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 14.3¢
Spread: Vikings (-4.5)Lost
Buccaneers$3.2k @ 68.0¢
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Lost
No$29 @ 39.0¢
Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$72 @ 94.6¢
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$50 @ 66.0¢
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$44 @ 59.0¢
Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Lost
No$53 @ 70.0¢
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Won
No$52 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Lost
Cowboys$4.8k @ 56.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)Lost
Ravens$1.9k @ 48.0¢
Spread: Saints (-4.5)Won
Raiders$2.5k @ 56.0¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5Lost
Under$3.2k @ 50.0¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5Won
Over$700 @ 42.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on September 27?Lost
Yes$5 @ 4.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$62.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$62.0k	50.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$103	10.3¢
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$74	99.3¢
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$74	99.0¢
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$74	98.9¢
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$73	97.9¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$73	97.0¢
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$72	96.4¢
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$72	96.4¢
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$72	96.3¢
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$71	94.9¢
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Politics	No	$65	87.3¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$64	85.0¢
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tech	No	$64	85.0¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$63	84.0¢
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$62	83.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$61	81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 29?	Science	No	$60	83.4¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Culture	Yes	$60	60.0¢
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Politics	No	$54	72.0¢
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Politics	No	$54	72.0¢
Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$50	99.4¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$49	1.4¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$49	1.4¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Sports	No	$49	65.0¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$48	1.4¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$47	1.4¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$47	1.4¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$47	1.4¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$62.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$62.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$103 @ 10.3¢
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$74 @ 99.3¢
Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$74 @ 99.0¢
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$74 @ 98.9¢
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$73 @ 97.9¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$73 @ 97.0¢
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$72 @ 96.4¢
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$72 @ 96.4¢
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$72 @ 96.3¢
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$71 @ 94.9¢
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics
No$65 @ 87.3¢
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$64 @ 85.0¢
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech
No$64 @ 85.0¢
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$63 @ 84.0¢
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$62 @ 83.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$61 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 29?Science
No$60 @ 83.4¢
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Culture
Yes$60 @ 60.0¢
Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics
No$54 @ 72.0¢
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics
No$54 @ 72.0¢
Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Geopolitics
No$50 @ 99.4¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$49 @ 1.4¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$49 @ 1.4¢
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Sports
No$49 @ 65.0¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$48 @ 1.4¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$47 @ 1.4¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$47 @ 1.4¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$47 @ 1.4¢