0xff91…ab3a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xff9152ac8cb6260419ea8940248177083aceab3a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+27.1pp

ROI

+49%

Win rate

73% @ 46.1¢

Brier

0.215

Resolved

339

Avg size

$86

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	50% (9/18)	+50%	18
Tech	50% (1/2)	-2%	2
Other	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+222%	1

Politics18 bets
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
ROI
+50%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-2%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+222%

Track record

48% hit · 11/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$176	10.1¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	23.0¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$6	15.2¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$623	89.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$383	88.2¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$1.7k	79.7¢	Won
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$186	53.9¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$62	31.1¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$144	13.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$547	19.7¢	Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$42	76.0¢	Lost
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$176	12.3¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?	No	$9	0.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5.2k	44.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$49	31.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	61.4¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$35	7.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$10.2k	44.7¢	Won
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$288	63.1¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$1.0k	84.3¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$2.0k	77.3¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$834	83.4¢	Won
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$208	78.6¢	Lost

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$176 @ 10.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.1k @ 23.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
Yes$6 @ 15.2¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Won
No$623 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$383 @ 88.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Won
No$1.7k @ 79.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Lost
Yes$186 @ 53.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$62 @ 31.1¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$144 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Lost
Yes$547 @ 19.7¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
No$42 @ 76.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$176 @ 12.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Lost
No$9 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5.2k @ 44.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$49 @ 31.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 61.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Lost
Yes$35 @ 7.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$10.2k @ 44.7¢
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Won
Yes$288 @ 63.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 84.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Won
No$2.0k @ 77.3¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$834 @ 83.4¢
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$208 @ 78.6¢

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