0xd24b…ef76

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.1pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

66% @ 55.6¢

Brier

0.157

Resolved

717

Avg size

$176

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (23/45)	+18%	45
Politics	59% (26/44)	+8%	44

Other45 bets
Hit rate
51% (23/45)
ROI
+18%
Politics44 bets
Hit rate
59% (26/44)
ROI
+8%

Track record

55% hit · 49/89

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$2.3k	84.3¢	Lost
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$170	17.0¢	Lost
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$4.0k	71.0¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$394	3.2¢	Lost
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$167	20.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	Yes	$27	2.9¢	Lost
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$480	24.0¢	Lost
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$1.2k	83.0¢	Won
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	$505	29.9¢	Lost
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$169	32.0¢	Lost
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$6.9k	80.4¢	Won
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$209	41.8¢	Lost
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	M	$21	22.0¢	Won
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?	No	$373	51.4¢	Lost
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	Yes	$11	2.3¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$387	77.4¢	Lost
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$35.3k	72.8¢	Won
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	Yes	$10.9k	80.4¢	Won
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	No	$9	6.9¢	Lost
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	$1.1k	80.3¢	Won
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	$125	64.0¢	Won
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$70	2.7¢	Lost
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	No	$894	45.0¢	Lost
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$900	59.0¢	Won
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	$2.8k	70.0¢	Won
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$1.3k	20.8¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$1.1k	82.0¢	Lost
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	$440	88.0¢	Lost
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$1.1k	88.6¢	Won
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	No	$259	85.9¢	Won
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$4.1k	77.7¢	Won
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	$200	40.0¢	Lost
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	$889	73.0¢	Won
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$2.6k	74.1¢	Won
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$436	33.1¢	Lost
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	$712	55.5¢	Won
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$3.7k	44.4¢	Lost
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$2.5k	77.1¢	Won
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	Yes	$208	35.0¢	Won
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$799	76.0¢	Won
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	$86	86.5¢	Won
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	No	$93	18.0¢	Won
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$113	20.2¢	Won
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?	Yes	$29	7.0¢	Lost
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?	Yes	$102	19.6¢	Lost
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$2.1k	85.9¢	Won
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$1.2k	24.8¢	Won
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	$535	80.0¢	Won
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$964	27.7¢	Won
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$2.1k	29.3¢	Lost

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 84.3¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Lost
Yes$170 @ 17.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
Yes$4.0k @ 71.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$394 @ 3.2¢
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$167 @ 20.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$27 @ 2.9¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Lost
No$480 @ 24.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 83.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Lost
No$505 @ 29.9¢
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Lost
Yes$169 @ 32.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Won
Yes$6.9k @ 80.4¢
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
Yes$209 @ 41.8¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
M$21 @ 22.0¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?Lost
No$373 @ 51.4¢
Will Left Party (V) win less than 5% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.3¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
No$387 @ 77.4¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
Yes$35.3k @ 72.8¢
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
Yes$10.9k @ 80.4¢
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
No$9 @ 6.9¢
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Won
No$1.1k @ 80.3¢
Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Won
No$125 @ 64.0¢
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
Yes$70 @ 2.7¢
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Lost
No$894 @ 45.0¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Won
Yes$900 @ 59.0¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
No$2.8k @ 70.0¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 20.8¢
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
No$1.1k @ 82.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Lost
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
No$1.1k @ 88.6¢
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Won
No$259 @ 85.9¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 77.7¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Lost
Yes$200 @ 40.0¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Won
No$889 @ 73.0¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
No$2.6k @ 74.1¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Lost
Yes$436 @ 33.1¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Won
No$712 @ 55.5¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Lost
Yes$3.7k @ 44.4¢
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Won
Yes$2.5k @ 77.1¢
Will Green Party (MP) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Won
Yes$208 @ 35.0¢
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$799 @ 76.0¢
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Won
No$86 @ 86.5¢
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Won
No$93 @ 18.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$113 @ 20.2¢
Will Julie Gonzales be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?Lost
Yes$29 @ 7.0¢
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Lost
Yes$102 @ 19.6¢
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 85.9¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
No$1.2k @ 24.8¢
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Won
No$535 @ 80.0¢
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
Yes$964 @ 27.7¢
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Lost
Yes$2.1k @ 29.3¢

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