0xd24b…ef76

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics277 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (171/277)

  ROI

  +22%

• Other110 bets

  Hit rate

  49% (54/110)

  ROI

  +17%

• Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$2.4k @ 13.0¢
• Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Lost
  Yes$65 @ 1.3¢
• Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 25.3¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWon
  Yes$10.1k @ 59.4¢
• Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 65.3¢
• Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  Yes$25 @ 59.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
  No$110 @ 67.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$560 @ 56.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$19.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Lost
  No$2.2k @ 54.7¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 59.0¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$827 @ 30.9¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 72.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Won
  Yes$425 @ 85.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Won
  Yes$103 @ 38.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$610 @ 61.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 69.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$460 @ 46.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$770 @ 77.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.3k @ 58.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$4.5k @ 36.2¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Lost
  Yes$621 @ 18.2¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$620 @ 62.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 60.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$948 @ 54.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Won
  No$436 @ 37.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.5k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$4.7k @ 52.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 71.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 54.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
  No$810 @ 81.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Won
  No$600 @ 60.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
  Yes$2.4k @ 35.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Won
  No$115 @ 67.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Won
  Yes$2.5k @ 49.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Lost
  No$720 @ 36.0¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 68.7¢
• Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  Yes$198 @ 65.2¢
• Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$194 @ 37.1¢
• Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
• Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  Yes$283 @ 53.4¢
• Will The Democrats win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 15.9¢
• Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  No$64 @ 54.9¢
• Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Lost
  No$1.0k @ 62.5¢
• Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$37 @ 26.0¢
• Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
• Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
• Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  Yes$35 @ 67.0¢
• Will Otzma Yehudit win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  No$35 @ 55.0¢
• Will United Torah Judaism win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  No$60 @ 60.0¢

Current positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  Yes$25.8k @ 66.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$23.3k @ 61.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$19.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$12.8k @ 80.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.4k @ 66.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.2k @ 75.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$8.5k @ 75.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$7.1k @ 36.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$6.4k @ 68.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$6.2k @ 56.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$6.0k @ 75.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.2k @ 36.1¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.3k @ 71.6¢
• Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.3k @ 63.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 69.9¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
  Yes$3.5k @ 66.7¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$3.3k @ 66.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.2k @ 82.5¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 64.3¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
  Yes$2.4k @ 13.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 54.7¢
• Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics
  Yes$2.1k @ 84.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.6k @ 64.7¢
• Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics
  Yes$1.5k @ 76.8¢
• Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 67.0¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 60.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 37.7¢
• Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 68.7¢
• Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
  No$1.0k @ 62.5¢
• Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$810 @ 81.0¢