← Smart money
0x122c…fbed
SharpEdge
+9.3pp
ROI
+23%
Win rate
52% @ 42.7¢
Brier
0.188
Resolved
2656
Avg size
$39
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (234/501) | +10% | 501 |
| Science | 50% (100/201) | +14% | 201 |
| Politics | 44% (34/78) | +24% | 78 |
| Tech | 60% (6/10) | +21% | 10 |
| Crypto | 50% (3/6) | +22% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/5) | -100% | 5 |
| Culture | 33% (1/3) | -75% | 3 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | -3% | 2 |
- Other501 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (234/501)
- ROI
- +10%
- Science201 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (100/201)
- ROI
- +14%
- Politics78 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (34/78)
- ROI
- +24%
- Tech10 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (6/10)
- ROI
- +21%
- Crypto6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +22%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/5)
- ROI
- -100%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -75%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -3%
Track record
47% hit · 379/806- No$31 @ 70.4¢
- No$9 @ 89.0¢
- No$24 @ 85.2¢
- Yes$7 @ 60.0¢
- No$30 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 37.0¢
- No$4 @ 87.0¢
- No$1 @ 33.6¢
- No$356 @ 9.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 70.7¢
- No$66 @ 21.1¢
- Yes$15 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.6¢
- No$74 @ 75.3¢
- No$44 @ 44.2¢
- Yes$6 @ 82.2¢
- No$106 @ 60.2¢
- No$41 @ 51.5¢
- Yes$30 @ 49.7¢
- No$87 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$29 @ 8.6¢
- No$6 @ 49.4¢
- Yes$19 @ 16.8¢
- No$61 @ 71.7¢
- Yes$23 @ 40.2¢
- No$10 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 32.4¢
- No$2 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
- No$81 @ 53.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
- No$17 @ 84.0¢
- No$87 @ 61.8¢
- No$60 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
- No$50 @ 66.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 33.3¢
- No$38 @ 53.6¢
- Yes$56 @ 24.0¢
- No$8 @ 47.0¢
- No$98 @ 53.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- No$16 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 37.0¢
- No$61 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
- No$21 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 4.2¢
- No$3 @ 88.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$3.3k @ 98.3¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 86.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 91.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 83.7¢
- No$1.6k @ 91.2¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 73.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 68.2¢
- No$1.3k @ 64.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 61.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 90.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 57.8¢
- No$1.2k @ 71.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 86.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 57.2¢
- No$1.1k @ 53.0¢
- No$980 @ 49.0¢
- Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?CultureNo$956 @ 47.9¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$921 @ 60.6¢
- No$920 @ 92.0¢
- No$915 @ 45.8¢
- No$904 @ 82.6¢
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$804 @ 75.6¢
- No$791 @ 67.9¢
- No$787 @ 79.0¢
- No$776 @ 91.9¢
- No$753 @ 93.0¢