0x1f0a…f7aa

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics101 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (50/101)

  ROI

  +17%

• Other14 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (6/14)

  ROI

  -17%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$838 @ 96.0¢
• Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Lost
  No$5 @ 91.0¢
• Will Martin Winkler win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
• Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$494 @ 91.9¢
• Will Judita Laššáková win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election?Won
  No$217 @ 99.1¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Won
  Yes$985 @ 89.0¢
• Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Won
  Yes$426 @ 64.9¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 5%?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 1.5¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$206 @ 85.0¢
• Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$1.2k @ 76.8¢
• Will JHC win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$138 @ 42.0¢
• Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in September?Won
  No$344 @ 70.2¢
• Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$185 @ 87.0¢
• Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?Won
  Yes$9 @ 87.8¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Lost
  No$193 @ 7.4¢
• Will Niclas Nilsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 1.1¢
• Will Nicole Cherlet win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?Won
  No$55 @ 89.7¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Lost
  No$14 @ 47.4¢
• Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Won
  Yes$65 @ 62.5¢
• Will SDA win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Won
  No$359 @ 86.7¢
• Will Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
• Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Lost
  Yes$112 @ 56.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?Won
  No$20 @ 88.4¢
• Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
• Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Lost
  No$672 @ 18.9¢
• Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.0¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$203 @ 62.1¢
• Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Won
  Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
• Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.7¢
• Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Lost
  No$5 @ 2.0¢
• Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$291 @ 85.1¢
• Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Won
  Yes$36 @ 57.3¢
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 28.8¢
• Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
• Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  No$0 @ 3.0¢
• Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  Yes$372 @ 80.2¢
• Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Won
  Yes$512 @ 75.3¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$20.2k @ 73.6¢
• Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Lost
  No$5 @ 1.0¢
• Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$943 @ 84.9¢
• Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 8.3¢
• Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Won
  Yes$165 @ 83.6¢
• Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Won
  Yes$325 @ 45.9¢
• Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Won
  No$177 @ 81.1¢
• Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Won
  Yes$180 @ 79.0¢
• Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Won
  No$94 @ 75.7¢
• Will Soldado Sampaio win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
• Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Won
  No$230 @ 79.5¢
• Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
  Yes$73 @ 3.6¢

Current positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$8.3k @ 90.8¢
• Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?—
  Yes$7.3k @ 95.2¢
• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$7.2k @ 93.4¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$6.4k @ 95.6¢
• Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Politics
  No$6.4k @ 94.6¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$6.0k @ 95.7¢
• Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$4.8k @ 89.5¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 92.3¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  No$4.6k @ 86.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
  No$3.8k @ 92.8¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$3.5k @ 88.9¢
• Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 89.0¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$3.0k @ 87.1¢
• Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 91.8¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.9k @ 86.8¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$2.6k @ 87.5¢
• Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$2.5k @ 87.5¢
• Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 90.6¢
• Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 92.4¢
• Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 93.3¢
• Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 92.5¢
• Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 89.0¢
• Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 90.8¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$1.9k @ 71.2¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  Yes$1.9k @ 70.2¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  Yes$1.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 91.8¢
• Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 94.2¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 97.9¢
• Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 98.4¢