0x2b62…438c

Specialization by sphere

• Other663 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (371/663)

  ROI

  +26%

• Politics133 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (84/133)

  ROI

  +40%

• Geopolitics20 bets

  Hit rate

  85% (17/20)

  ROI

  +85%

• Tech13 bets

  Hit rate

  54% (7/13)

  ROI

  +30%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +91%

• Science2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +43%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +15%

• Economy1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +104%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 14.4¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 7.8¢
• Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
• NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings Won
  Avalanche$11 @ 75.0¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$0 @ 20.0¢
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 28.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Lost
  No$180 @ 72.4¢
• Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?Won
  No$15 @ 89.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$30 @ 89.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$0 @ 6.0¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$139 @ 56.8¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$55 @ 77.1¢
• North Korea missile launch by January 31?Lost
  No$27 @ 74.0¢
• Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Won
  No$93 @ 57.5¢
• Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 48.6¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 21.1¢
• Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 26.0¢
• Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$175 @ 61.6¢
• Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
  No$26 @ 87.8¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Won
  No$56 @ 28.0¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$40 @ 80.0¢
• Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Won
  No$54 @ 72.0¢
• Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Won
  Yes$69 @ 71.3¢
• Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?Lost
  No$111 @ 29.9¢
• Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
• Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 20.6¢
• Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Won
  No$30 @ 75.0¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Won
  No$71 @ 71.0¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 32.0¢
• Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?Won
  No$6 @ 53.0¢
• Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 19, 2026?Lost
  No$59 @ 32.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$46 @ 61.0¢
• Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Won
  No$20 @ 67.0¢
• Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 26, 2026?Lost
  No$9 @ 3.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$25 @ 35.0¢
• Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by at least 15%?Won
  Yes$57 @ 84.2¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by August 31, 2026?Won
  No$0 @ 33.2¢
• Will André Ventura win more than 26% of votes in the first round?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
• Lighter Airdrop before January 1?Lost
  No$39 @ 13.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 14.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$75 @ 34.0¢
• Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Won
  Yes$4 @ 80.0¢
• Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Lost
  No$5 @ 22.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$53 @ 79.0¢
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$32 @ 11.6¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 3.0¢

Current positions

• Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$309 @ 48.0¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$206 @ 86.0¢
• Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$201 @ 93.3¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?Politics
  Yes$194 @ 92.8¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election?—
  No$192 @ 91.1¢
• Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Politics
  Yes$184 @ 74.2¢
• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?—
  No$175 @ 81.5¢
• Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?—
  Yes$172 @ 71.7¢
• Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?Crypto
  No$168 @ 83.6¢
• Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Politics
  Yes$156 @ 64.7¢
• Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$155 @ 31.4¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$153 @ 51.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$151 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more?—
  No$142 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 3% or more?Politics
  No$141 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election?—
  No$141 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election?Politics
  No$141 @ 93.3¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election?—
  No$140 @ 93.3¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Politics
  Yes$132 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 3% or more?Politics
  No$131 @ 90.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election?—
  No$129 @ 91.0¢
• Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy
  No$127 @ 93.6¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics
  No$126 @ 92.5¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 0%-5%?—
  No$126 @ 91.0¢
• Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Politics
  No$123 @ 91.5¢
• Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$122 @ 78.9¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará?Politics
  Yes$122 @ 86.9¢
• Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?—
  No$122 @ 81.0¢
• Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$117 @ 39.0¢
• Will NiP win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Politics
  No$116 @ 88.5¢