0x2b62…438c

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other739 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (417/739)

  ROI

  +26%

• Politics376 bets

  Hit rate

  70% (263/376)

  ROI

  +25%

• Geopolitics39 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (31/39)

  ROI

  +64%

• Tech16 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (8/16)

  ROI

  -16%

• Crypto5 bets

  Hit rate

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  +13%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +91%

• Culture4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -35%

• Economy3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +48%

• Science2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +43%

• Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?Lost
  No$108 @ 65.0¢
• Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?Lost
  Yes$98 @ 6.0¢
• Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Lost
  No$1 @ 19.0¢
• Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Won
  No$0 @ 50.0¢
• Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Lost
  Yes$39 @ 98.0¢
• Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$40 @ 13.0¢
• Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
• Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Lost
  Yes$12 @ 35.1¢
• Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?Lost
  Over$0 @ 22.0¢
• Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$44 @ 28.0¢
• Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
• Will "No" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by less than 3%?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
• Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
• Will "Yes" win the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum by 3–6%?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 3.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?Lost
  Yes$22 @ 75.0¢
• Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Lost
  Yes$29 @ 28.9¢
• Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
• Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be above 85%?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
• Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30?Lost
  No$20 @ 20.0¢
• Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?Lost
  No$40 @ 70.7¢
• Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 12.6¢
• U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$13 @ 60.0¢
• Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 28.0¢
• Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 66.0¢
• Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
• Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?Lost
  No$20 @ 82.4¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Lost
  No$101 @ 59.4¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by August 31, 2026?Lost
  No$22 @ 15.0¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
• Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 26.0¢
• Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?Lost
  No$18 @ 93.9¢
• Will Maria Natale win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?Lost
  No$61 @ 20.6¢
• Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Lost
  Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
• U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Lost
  No$75 @ 70.0¢
• Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
• US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 14.4¢
• Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Lost
  Yes$23 @ 7.8¢
• Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 9.0¢
• NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings Won
  Avalanche$11 @ 75.0¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
• Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Won
  No$0 @ 20.0¢
• Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$4 @ 28.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 6.0¢
• Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Lost
  No$180 @ 72.4¢
• Will Trump praise Allah on July 4?Won
  No$15 @ 89.0¢
• Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
• Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
  No$30 @ 89.0¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Lost
  No$0 @ 6.0¢
• Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Won
  No$139 @ 56.8¢

Current positions

• Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Politics
  No$475 @ 92.4¢
• Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics
  Yes$330 @ 66.5¢
• Will Tibor Batthyány be the next Mayor of Liberec?Politics
  No$257 @ 98.8¢
• Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?Crypto
  No$241 @ 86.7¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Politics
  Yes$222 @ 34.2¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$207 @ 90.0¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$206 @ 86.0¢
• Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$201 @ 93.3¢
• Will PSOE win the most seats in Las Palmas in the 2026 Spanish general election?Politics
  Yes$199 @ 57.0¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election?Politics
  No$193 @ 91.5¢
• Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Politics
  Yes$187 @ 61.8¢
• Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Politics
  Yes$184 @ 74.2¢
• Israel Election: Yashar and Likud in coalition?Politics
  No$183 @ 71.0¢
• Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$183 @ 75.5¢
• Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Science
  Yes$178 @ 72.1¢
• Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$175 @ 81.5¢
• Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Politics
  Yes$175 @ 37.5¢
• US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?Politics
  No$158 @ 68.3¢
• Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Sports
  No$157 @ 87.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Politics
  No$154 @ 77.0¢
• Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$152 @ 54.4¢
• Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto
  No$152 @ 79.9¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$151 @ 86.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$150 @ 79.0¢
• Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026?Politics
  No$149 @ 82.8¢
• Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?Politics
  Yes$147 @ 52.5¢
• Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election?Politics
  No$147 @ 79.2¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 3% or more?Politics
  No$142 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 3% or more?Politics
  No$141 @ 89.3¢
• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election?Politics
  No$141 @ 89.3¢