0x6512…5291

Specialization by sphere

• Other463 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (234/463)

  ROI

  +2%

• Politics46 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (23/46)

  ROI

  +36%

• Sports22 bets

  Hit rate

  41% (9/22)

  ROI

  +9%

• Science5 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (1/5)

  ROI

  -21%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +45%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +18%

• Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Lost
  No$14 @ 7.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Won
  Yes$20 @ 96.4¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 10.8¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$160 @ 24.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
  Yes$140 @ 14.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 88.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$207 @ 23.3¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
  Yes$1.5k @ 96.8¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$267 @ 89.2¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 5.0¢
• Colts vs. CommandersWon
  Colts$66 @ 66.0¢
• San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersWon
  Milwaukee Brewers$10 @ 68.3¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Won
  No$24 @ 49.0¢
• Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
• Rams vs. SeahawksLost
  Rams$100 @ 45.0¢
• Golden Knights vs. OilersLost
  Oilers$200 @ 50.0¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
  Yes$100 @ 35.0¢
• Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Lost
  Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
• Knicks vs. WarriorsLost
  Knicks$10 @ 32.0¢
• Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Won
  Knicks$67 @ 52.0¢
• Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 80.8¢
• Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Lost
  Over$315 @ 49.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 12?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
• Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Lost
  No$102 @ 17.0¢
• Thunder vs. JazzWon
  Thunder$900 @ 81.0¢
• Wild vs. PanthersLost
  Panthers$175 @ 45.0¢
• Stars vs. CanadiensLost
  Canadiens$133 @ 52.0¢
• Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Lost
  Yes$216 @ 54.0¢
• Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Won
  Under$156 @ 52.0¢
• Heat vs. MavericksLost
  Heat$45 @ 63.0¢
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?Won
  No$1.9k @ 87.2¢
• Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
• Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?Lost
  No$10 @ 10.0¢
• Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Won
  Over$200 @ 50.0¢
• Thunder vs. SunsLost
  Thunder$760 @ 76.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
  No$582 @ 18.0¢
• Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Lost
  Over$132 @ 44.0¢
• Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?Won
  No$122 @ 19.5¢
• Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Lost
  No$136 @ 34.0¢
• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?Lost
  No$336 @ 48.0¢
• Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Won
  Yes$71 @ 70.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Won
  No$77 @ 38.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$754 @ 37.5¢
• Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 56.0¢
• Hawks vs. Trail BlazersWon
  Trail Blazers$45 @ 40.0¢
• Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Won
  Hawks$177 @ 44.0¢
• Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
• Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 10.0¢
• Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-04-05?Lost
  Yes$14 @ 26.0¢

Current positions

• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$9.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  No$9.3k @ 50.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$2.7k @ 56.0¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$1.4k @ 71.5¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 18.0¢
• Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics
  No$878 @ 59.0¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$520 @ 39.6¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$440 @ 88.0¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$380 @ 86.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$320 @ 29.2¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$310 @ 62.0¢
• Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$250 @ 81.0¢
• Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$248 @ 76.0¢
• Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$100 @ 29.0¢
• 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Science
  No$95 @ 94.9¢
• Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$90 @ 70.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$57 @ 37.0¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$54 @ 54.0¢
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$50 @ 68.0¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$5 @ 73.0¢