← Smart money
0x2693…752e
ProfitableEdge
+11.5pp
ROI
+72%
Win rate
49% @ 37.3¢
Brier
0.288
Resolved
172
Avg size
$2
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 54% (7/13) | +76% | 13 |
| Other | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (7/13)
- ROI
- +76%
- Other2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
47% hit · 7/15- No$5 @ 60.0¢
- No$11 @ 64.8¢
- No$19 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 21.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 24.5¢
- Yes$98 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$31 @ 18.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
- Yes$16 @ 2.2¢
- No$109 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$16 @ 30.3¢
- Yes$49 @ 25.6¢
- Yes$3 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Politics | No | $77 | 45.6¢ |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Politics | No | $26 | 81.9¢ |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Politics | No | $15 | 82.5¢ |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $13 | 73.1¢ |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Politics | No | $10 | 86.0¢ |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Politics | No | $8 | 93.0¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $5 | 85.0¢ |
- No$77 @ 45.6¢
- No$26 @ 81.9¢
- No$15 @ 82.5¢
- No$13 @ 73.1¢
- No$10 @ 86.0¢
- No$8 @ 93.0¢
- No$5 @ 85.0¢