0xb26c…0eb0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.0pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

60% @ 53.3¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

2639

Avg size

$139

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (212/394)	+3%	394
Politics	67% (56/83)	+16%	83
Geopolitics	81% (34/42)	+34%	42
Crypto	100% (5/5)	+47%	5
Sports	25% (1/4)	-36%	4
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other394 bets
Hit rate
54% (212/394)
ROI
+3%
Politics83 bets
Hit rate
67% (56/83)
ROI
+16%
Geopolitics42 bets
Hit rate
81% (34/42)
ROI
+34%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+47%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-36%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

58% hit · 308/529

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	$73	61.0¢	Won
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?	Yes	$2	30.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	$106	67.0¢	Lost
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	$42	84.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?	No	$1.3k	96.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	$28	99.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?	No	$431	98.9¢	Won
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	$342	75.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?	No	$77	99.9¢	Won
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	72.4¢	Won
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	No	$2.1k	99.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	No	$89	98.2¢	Won
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$920	92.0¢	Won
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	$141	70.7¢	Won
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	$250	83.3¢	Won
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$144	72.0¢	Lost
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	$792	91.9¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	$4.3k	96.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	$1.0k	91.3¢	Won
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	45.5¢	Won
Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	$6	63.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$300	30.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	No	$87	70.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	$452	49.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$152	76.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$574	82.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	No	$826	79.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	Yes	$1.2k	31.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$1.0k	51.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$1.5k	33.6¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Under	$13	53.9¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	$129	75.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?	No	$5	2.5¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	No	$1.2k	77.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?	No	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$470	48.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$133	51.2¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$150	50.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?	No	$477	79.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.1k	72.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?	Yes	$78	58.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$2.2k	61.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?	No	$34	89.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?	No	$839	61.5¢	Won
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$3.2k	79.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$52	51.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?	No	$140	78.8¢	Won

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?Won
Yes$73 @ 61.0¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 30.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Lost
Yes$106 @ 67.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Won
No$42 @ 84.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Won
No$1.3k @ 96.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Won
No$28 @ 99.9¢
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Won
No$431 @ 98.9¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Won
No$342 @ 75.8¢
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Won
No$77 @ 99.9¢
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Won
No$1.1k @ 72.4¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Won
No$2.1k @ 99.0¢
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?Won
No$89 @ 98.2¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
No$920 @ 92.0¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
No$141 @ 70.7¢
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?Won
No$250 @ 83.3¢
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
Yes$144 @ 72.0¢
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Won
Yes$792 @ 91.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Won
Yes$4.3k @ 96.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Won
No$1.0k @ 91.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 45.5¢
Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Won
No$6 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Lost
No$87 @ 70.9¢
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Lost
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Won
Yes$452 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$152 @ 76.0¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$574 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Lost
No$826 @ 79.8¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 31.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$1.0k @ 51.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 33.6¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Won
Under$13 @ 53.9¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?Lost
No$129 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Lost
No$5 @ 2.5¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
No$1.2k @ 77.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Lost
No$9 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$470 @ 48.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$133 @ 51.2¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$150 @ 50.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Won
No$477 @ 79.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$1.1k @ 72.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?Won
Yes$78 @ 58.6¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?Lost
No$34 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Won
No$839 @ 61.5¢
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 79.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$52 @ 51.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by September 30?Won
No$140 @ 78.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	47.3¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$3.1k	77.3¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.3k	69.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	70.9¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$1.0k	60.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$1.0k	87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$959	32.0¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$592	71.2¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$379	80.7¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$347	30.8¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?	Politics	No	$217	70.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$106	67.0¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$103	85.9¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$81	16.7¢
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?	Sports	Yes	$60	32.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	No	$58	58.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$41	41.0¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$31	31.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$12	72.0¢
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$7	68.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$4	41.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$4	73.0¢

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
Yes$3.9k @ 47.3¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$3.1k @ 77.3¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$2.3k @ 69.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 70.9¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$1.0k @ 60.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$959 @ 32.0¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$592 @ 71.2¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by November 30?Geopolitics
Yes$379 @ 80.7¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$347 @ 30.8¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Politics
No$217 @ 70.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
Yes$106 @ 67.0¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$103 @ 85.9¢
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$81 @ 16.7¢
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Sports
Yes$60 @ 32.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
No$58 @ 58.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 72.0¢
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$4 @ 41.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$4 @ 73.0¢