0xb26c…0eb0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

59% @ 52.8¢

Brier

0.202

Resolved

2558

Avg size

$137

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (211/393)	+3%	393
Politics	63% (41/65)	+16%	65
Geopolitics	75% (15/20)	+44%	20
Crypto	100% (5/5)	+47%	5
Sports	25% (1/4)	-36%	4

Other393 bets
Hit rate
54% (211/393)
ROI
+3%
Politics65 bets
Hit rate
63% (41/65)
ROI
+16%
Geopolitics20 bets
Hit rate
75% (15/20)
ROI
+44%
Crypto5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+47%
Sports4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
-36%

Track record

56% hit · 273/487

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	$6	63.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$300	30.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?	No	$87	70.9¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?	No	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?	Yes	$452	49.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	$152	76.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$574	82.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	No	$826	79.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?	Yes	$1.2k	31.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$1.0k	51.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$1.5k	33.6¢	Lost
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Under	$13	53.9¢	Won
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	$129	75.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?	No	$5	2.5¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	No	$1.2k	77.4¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?	No	$9	30.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$470	48.5¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$84	84.0¢	Won
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$133	51.2¢	Lost
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$150	50.0¢	Won
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?	No	$477	79.2¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$1.1k	72.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?	Yes	$78	58.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$2.2k	61.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?	No	$34	89.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?	No	$839	61.5¢	Won
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	$3.2k	79.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5	Over	$52	51.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$1.0k	52.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$606	43.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$4.3k	39.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	Yes	$81	70.7¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$780	78.0¢	Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$35	69.4¢	Won
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?	No	$10	48.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?	Yes	$651	56.8¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?	No	$181	36.2¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?	Yes	$972	73.1¢	Won
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?	No	$1.6k	77.6¢	Won
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?	No	$44	80.8¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$67	77.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?	No	$100	75.0¢	Lost
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?	No	$144	60.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?	No	$768	77.2¢	Won
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?	Yes	$90	18.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$22	82.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	$97	37.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$428	68.3¢	Won

Will Trump say "Too Late" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Won
No$6 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Lost
No$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 30, 2026?Lost
No$87 @ 70.9¢
Will Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Lost
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?Won
Yes$452 @ 49.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Won
No$152 @ 76.0¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Won
No$574 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Lost
No$826 @ 79.8¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 31.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$1.0k @ 51.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$1.5k @ 33.6¢
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Won
Under$13 @ 53.9¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?Lost
No$129 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $112K in August?Lost
No$5 @ 2.5¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
No$1.2k @ 77.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?Lost
No$9 @ 30.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$470 @ 48.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Won
No$84 @ 84.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Lost
No$133 @ 51.2¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Won
Yes$150 @ 50.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by March 31?Won
No$477 @ 79.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
No$1.1k @ 72.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on April 4?Won
Yes$78 @ 58.6¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
No$2.2k @ 61.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?Lost
No$34 @ 89.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Won
No$839 @ 61.5¢
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Lost
Yes$3.2k @ 79.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$52 @ 51.0¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
No$1.0k @ 52.5¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$606 @ 43.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$4.3k @ 39.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Lost
Yes$81 @ 70.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$780 @ 78.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Won
Yes$35 @ 69.4¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Won
No$10 @ 48.0¢
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Lost
Yes$651 @ 56.8¢
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Lost
No$181 @ 36.2¢
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?Won
Yes$972 @ 73.1¢
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Won
No$1.6k @ 77.6¢
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?Won
No$44 @ 80.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
No$67 @ 77.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 20, 2026?Lost
No$100 @ 75.0¢
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 16, 2026?Lost
No$144 @ 60.7¢
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?Won
No$768 @ 77.2¢
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?Lost
Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Won
No$22 @ 82.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Lost
Yes$97 @ 37.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$428 @ 68.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$4.0k	47.3¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$3.0k	80.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.1k	51.2¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?	Geopolitics	No	$1.9k	72.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	79.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Politics	No	$1.1k	59.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$681	47.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$347	30.8¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	Politics	No	$178	74.4¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?	Politics	No	$162	78.8¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$146	82.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$113	62.0¢
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$76	75.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?	Other	No	$39	86.0¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$31	31.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$12	72.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$8	80.7¢
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$7	68.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$4	41.3¢

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
Yes$4.0k @ 47.3¢
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$3.0k @ 80.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2.1k @ 51.2¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?Geopolitics
No$1.9k @ 72.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 79.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Politics
No$1.1k @ 59.2¢
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Politics
Yes$681 @ 47.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$347 @ 30.8¢
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?Politics
No$178 @ 74.4¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?Politics
No$162 @ 78.8¢
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$146 @ 82.1¢
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$113 @ 62.0¢
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$76 @ 75.8¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?Other
No$39 @ 86.0¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$31 @ 31.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Geopolitics
No$12 @ 72.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Geopolitics
No$8 @ 80.7¢
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$7 @ 68.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Geopolitics
No$4 @ 41.3¢