0xfb51…742d

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics121 bets

  Hit rate

  58% (70/121)

  ROI

  +6%

• Sports72 bets

  Hit rate

  47% (34/72)

  ROI

  -28%

• Other72 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (40/72)

  ROI

  +1%

• Geopolitics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  -19%

• Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Won
  Yes$155 @ 72.8¢
• Will Jordan Bardella be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Won
  Yes$12.3k @ 95.5¢
• Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?Lost
  Yes$156 @ 84.8¢
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$1.3k @ 86.4¢
• Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?Lost
  Yes$98 @ 40.0¢
• Falcons vs. SaintsWon
  Falcons$8.5k @ 47.0¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Won
  No$690 @ 86.2¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 8.9¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$940 @ 1.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3?Won
  No$439 @ 87.8¢
• China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak DjokovicWon
  Novak Djokovic$525 @ 75.0¢
• Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
• Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
  No$8.0k @ 40.0¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
  No$16.4k @ 82.5¢
• Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?Won
  Bolsonaro$679 @ 86.1¢
• Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 3?Lost
  Lula$0 @ 0.5¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 51% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
  No$4.1k @ 87.6¢
• Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?Won
  Yes$154 @ 76.0¢
• Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Lost
  No$104 @ 77.0¢
• Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Won
  Yes$100 @ 63.2¢
• India vs. Brazil: India O/U 0.5Won
  Under$1.6k @ 82.5¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?Won
  Yes$468 @ 78.6¢
• Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Lost
  Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
• Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 41.3¢
• Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?Won
  Yes$180 @ 54.7¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Won
  Yes$6.3k @ 83.7¢
• Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 5.5¢
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Won
  No$850 @ 80.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 22.1¢
• Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Lost
  Yes$2.8k @ 34.3¢
• Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Won
  No$255 @ 85.0¢
• Will France win on 2026-10-02?Won
  No$276 @ 67.0¢
• Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?Won
  Yes$233 @ 58.1¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$6.5k @ 40.6¢
• Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Won
  No$310 @ 68.9¢
• Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Lost
  Yes$34 @ 37.0¢
• Will Les Républicains hold 129-132 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 10.3¢
• United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Lost
  Under$73 @ 41.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$4.0k @ 87.4¢
• Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-18?Won
  Yes$1.1k @ 86.0¢
• United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Won
  Under$61 @ 41.0¢
• Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Won
  Yes$10.8k @ 67.8¢
• Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Won
  No$109 @ 81.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?Won
  Yes$261 @ 85.0¢
• Will Carole Delga win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
• Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Lost
  Yes$84 @ 38.0¢
• Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Lost
  Yes$1.3k @ 50.0¢
• Jingshan: Elias Ymer vs Terence AtmaneLost
  Terence Atmane$152 @ 80.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
  Yes$71 @ 3.1¢

Current positions

• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$86.4k @ 81.5¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$73.8k @ 70.5¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$64.2k @ 65.1¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$28.2k @ 35.5¢
• Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$21.5k @ 22.0¢
• Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$8.3k @ 86.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Politics
  No$6.3k @ 97.0¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$5.7k @ 72.9¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$4.3k @ 95.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$3.4k @ 68.6¢
• Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 82.1¢
• Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$3.0k @ 93.3¢
• Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Politics
  No$2.8k @ 84.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
  Yes$2.6k @ 33.4¢
• Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$2.4k @ 67.2¢
• Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 84.1¢
• Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 2.3¢
• Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$1.5k @ 74.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics
  Yes$1.2k @ 18.9¢
• Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$1.1k @ 80.7¢
• Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Politics
  Yes$1.1k @ 62.7¢
• Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$977 @ 71.5¢
• Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?Politics
  No$840 @ 90.1¢
• Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$772 @ 1.3¢
• Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$667 @ 62.5¢
• Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$524 @ 67.3¢
• Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$472 @ 69.3¢
• Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$461 @ 0.7¢
• Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$459 @ 84.0¢
• Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$406 @ 79.7¢