0x24fe…3419

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x24fe0b16c9833c78cb50d56036a7e8b195f73419
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.6pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

26% @ 23.8¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

5836

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	16% (181/1144)	+5%	1144
Politics	29% (4/14)	+281%	14
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other1144 bets
Hit rate
16% (181/1144)
ROI
+5%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
29% (4/14)
ROI
+281%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

16% hit · 185/1160

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?	Yes	$8	23.5¢	Lost
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$114	8.4¢	Won
Will Panama make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 2?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?	Yes	$12	58.0¢	Won
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	$10	51.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?	No	$54	86.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?	Yes	$4	32.5¢	Lost
Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 24?	Yes	$4	6.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?	No	$7	60.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	No	$25	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	Yes	$13	9.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?	Yes	$18	23.6¢	Lost
Will Doppler be above $700 by end of February?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $5.50?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $290?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?	Yes	$118	41.7¢	Won
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of March?	No	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?	Yes	$38	18.2¢	Lost
Exact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?	Yes	$11	8.5¢	Lost
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 18?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?	No	$86	87.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?	Yes	$6	11.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?	Yes	$78	25.8¢	Won
Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Split 1: Lock-in Tournament?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Milan Djuric: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will Tesla reach $570 in March?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Lost
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 27?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?	Yes	$29	10.9¢	Lost
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?	No	$85	84.6¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on February 19?	Yes	$7	19.4¢	Won
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?	Yes	$29	60.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 18?	Yes	$37	39.4¢	Lost
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait - Toss Match Double Hong Kong, China Winner	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 29?	No	$79	82.0¢	Won
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?	No	$1	1.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?	Yes	$10	11.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 26?	Yes	$2	13.4¢	Lost
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 5?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?	Yes	$13	39.4¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$8 @ 23.5¢
Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.30 by end of February?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$114 @ 8.4¢
Will Panama make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 2?Won
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 6?Won
Yes$12 @ 58.0¢
Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?Lost
No$10 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 14?Won
No$54 @ 86.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 27?Lost
Yes$4 @ 32.5¢
Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 24?Lost
Yes$4 @ 6.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 10?Won
No$7 @ 60.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Won
No$25 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Lost
Yes$13 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 26?Lost
Yes$18 @ 23.6¢
Will Doppler be above $700 by end of February?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 23 above $5.50?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $290?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?Won
Yes$118 @ 41.7¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of March?Lost
No$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 2?Lost
Yes$38 @ 18.2¢
Exact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?Lost
Yes$11 @ 8.5¢
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $9.00 end of March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 18?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 3?Won
No$86 @ 87.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 11.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?Won
Yes$78 @ 25.8¢
Will Team Liquid win LCS 2026 Split 1: Lock-in Tournament?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Milan Djuric: Anytime GoalscorerLost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Tesla reach $570 in March?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?Lost
Yes$29 @ 10.9¢
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 11?Won
No$85 @ 84.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on February 19?Won
Yes$7 @ 19.4¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?Won
Yes$29 @ 60.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 18?Lost
Yes$37 @ 39.4¢
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait - Toss Match Double Hong Kong, China WinnerLost
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 29?Won
No$79 @ 82.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,860 on the final trading day of February 2026?Lost
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Crystal Palace FC?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?Won
Yes$10 @ 11.9¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.4¢
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on March 5?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 21?Won
Yes$13 @ 39.4¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$89	43.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$80	77.7¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$79	78.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$57	42.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$57	72.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	No	$54	43.8¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$52	60.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Economy	Yes	$41	2.4¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	No	$40	76.4¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$34	54.5¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$34	51.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$27	89.3¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$26	34.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$23	92.7¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$22	25.7¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$22	72.8¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$21	71.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$21	88.4¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$21	86.5¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$19	79.2¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$18	78.0¢
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Over/Under $182.61 on September 30?	Culture	Over	$18	49.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economy	No	$16	27.4¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?	Economy	No	$15	59.9¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$15	55.2¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$13	25.3¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?	Economy	Yes	$12	41.5¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	No	$12	77.0¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?	Politics	No	$11	90.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$11	18.1¢

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$89 @ 43.0¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$80 @ 77.7¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$79 @ 78.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech
No$57 @ 42.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$57 @ 72.3¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
No$54 @ 43.8¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$52 @ 60.2¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy
Yes$41 @ 2.4¢
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
No$40 @ 76.4¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech
No$34 @ 54.5¢
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$34 @ 51.2¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$27 @ 89.3¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Politics
Yes$26 @ 34.3¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$23 @ 92.7¢
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$22 @ 25.7¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$22 @ 72.8¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech
No$21 @ 71.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$21 @ 88.4¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech
No$21 @ 86.5¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$19 @ 79.2¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech
No$18 @ 78.0¢
Gengar (Cosmos Holo) — EB Games Exclusive Price Over/Under $182.61 on September 30?Culture
Over$18 @ 49.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy
No$16 @ 27.4¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Economy
No$15 @ 59.9¢
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto
Yes$15 @ 55.2¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$13 @ 25.3¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Economy
Yes$12 @ 41.5¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026?Tech
No$12 @ 77.0¢
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics
No$11 @ 90.0¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech
Yes$11 @ 18.1¢