0x71a3…3fb4

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Science490 bets

  Hit rate

  68% (331/490)

  ROI

  +5%

• Politics294 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (169/294)

  ROI

  +8%

• Culture76 bets

  Hit rate

  49% (37/76)

  ROI

  +3%

• Sports20 bets

  Hit rate

  65% (13/20)

  ROI

  -29%

• Tech15 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (10/15)

  ROI

  +52%

• Geopolitics13 bets

  Hit rate

  77% (10/13)

  ROI

  -19%

• Economy8 bets

  Hit rate

  88% (7/8)

  ROI

  +21%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  -18%

• Other7 bets

  Hit rate

  29% (2/7)

  ROI

  +294%

• Business2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +39%

• Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Won
  No$23 @ 99.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?Won
  No$12 @ 40.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 25?Won
  No$49 @ 81.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?Won
  No$21 @ 69.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?Won
  No$34 @ 45.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 22?Lost
  No$7 @ 71.0¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.6¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?Won
  No$17 @ 56.7¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?Won
  No$38 @ 51.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 26?Won
  No$19 @ 62.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?Won
  No$34 @ 85.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Lost
  No$59 @ 78.0¢
• Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Won
  No$45 @ 89.1¢
• Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Lost
  No$0 @ 1.9¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?Won
  No$135 @ 84.1¢
• Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?Won
  No$17 @ 85.8¢
• Will the Student List win 35-40% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Won
  No$316 @ 78.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 24?Won
  No$3 @ 65.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Lost
  No$538 @ 68.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 25?Won
  No$5 @ 69.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?Lost
  No$7 @ 84.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 22?Won
  No$14 @ 80.2¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 23?Won
  No$65 @ 72.4¢
• Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$20 @ 65.0¢
• Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Won
  No$14 @ 46.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?Won
  No$53 @ 51.5¢
• Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$30 @ 84.4¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 26?Won
  No$22 @ 73.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 24?Won
  No$6 @ 55.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 23?Won
  No$42 @ 49.2¢
• Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Lost
  No$840 @ 21.3¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?Lost
  No$2 @ 3.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 24?Lost
  No$21 @ 68.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 22?Won
  No$16 @ 89.0¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.6¢
• Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Won
  No$62 @ 88.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 22?Won
  No$7 @ 59.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on October 22?Won
  No$9 @ 89.0¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?Lost
  No$13 @ 44.1¢
• Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Lost
  No$1 @ 1.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$4.5k @ 37.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?Lost
  No$24 @ 68.2¢
• Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 24?Won
  No$22 @ 78.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?Lost
  No$5 @ 65.4¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Won
  No$20 @ 88.9¢
• Will the US national average gas price be between $4.3000 and $4.3099 on October 24?Won
  No$27 @ 76.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24?Won
  No$22 @ 73.9¢
• Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Won
  No$6 @ 64.2¢

Current positions

• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 31?Crypto
  No$57 @ 98.9¢
• Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election?Politics
  No$39 @ 97.1¢
• Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
  No$30 @ 99.9¢
• Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Geopolitics
  No$28 @ 99.9¢
• Will Leanne Raw win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Politics
  No$23 @ 99.0¢
• Will Joint List win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics
  No$15 @ 99.9¢
• Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
  No$15 @ 37.0¢
• Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
  No$10 @ 99.7¢
• Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture
  No$9 @ 86.5¢
• Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?Politics
  No$9 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 10%-15%?Politics
  No$6 @ 85.0¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?Politics
  No$5 @ 75.0¢
• Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$4 @ 40.0¢