0x5652…00c9

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5652090d21c85a9d1ca5b6a41fe07f3099fb00c9
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.7pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

48% @ 43.4¢

Brier

0.200

Resolved

2437

Avg size

$148

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (86/173)	+7%	173
Sports	36% (18/50)	+35%	50
Politics	41% (16/39)	+13%	39
Geopolitics	44% (4/9)	-20%	9
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other173 bets
Hit rate
50% (86/173)
ROI
+7%
Sports50 bets
Hit rate
36% (18/50)
ROI
+35%
Politics39 bets
Hit rate
41% (16/39)
ROI
+13%
Geopolitics9 bets
Hit rate
44% (4/9)
ROI
-20%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

45% hit · 124/273

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$700	35.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$984	26.9¢	Lost
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$335	67.0¢	Lost
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$720	36.0¢	Lost
Falcons vs. Saints	Saints	$1.1k	52.5¢	Lost
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$240	48.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	$3.2k	79.3¢	Won
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	No	$1.1k	56.0¢	Won
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Over	$174	41.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$1.9k	48.5¢	Won
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$4.9k	33.0¢	Lost
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$11.8k	45.3¢	Won
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	$2.1k	29.7¢	Lost
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5	Over	$495	49.5¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$411	34.9¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$4.4k	63.7¢	Won
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$165	33.0¢	Lost
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5	Over	$1000	33.3¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	Yes	$4.8k	12.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	Paraguay	$1.2k	39.0¢	Won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	$820	41.0¢	Lost
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Under	$170	34.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$2.7k	13.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$8.0k	64.9¢	Lost
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)	Deportivo Alavés	$90	16.0¢	Won
Spread: Clemson (-2.5)	California	$245	49.0¢	Lost
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	$295	59.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$403	5.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$1.3k	65.5¢	Lost
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	$723	35.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.9k	47.0¢	Lost
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$7.8k	77.7¢	Won
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	SPARTA	$730	73.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	33.6¢	Lost
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev	Brandon Nakashima	$840	42.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$300	6.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$1.2k	61.0¢	Won
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-09?	No	$1.1k	54.0¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Sedriques Dumas	$10	30.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	$920	46.0¢	Won
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	$265	53.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	No	$2.3k	40.3¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$1.7k	69.2¢	Won
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5	Over	$1.1k	57.0¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$1.3k	67.0¢	Won
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)	Vikings	$500	25.0¢	Lost
Will FC St. Gallen 1879 win on 2026-07-26?	No	$1.5k	38.0¢	Lost
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	$235	47.0¢	Won
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?	No	$225	45.0¢	Lost

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Won
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Lost
No$984 @ 26.9¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$335 @ 67.0¢
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$720 @ 36.0¢
Falcons vs. SaintsLost
Saints$1.1k @ 52.5¢
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?Won
Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Won
No$3.2k @ 79.3¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreWon
No$1.1k @ 56.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5Lost
Over$174 @ 41.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Won
No$1.9k @ 48.5¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Lost
Yes$4.9k @ 33.0¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Won
No$11.8k @ 45.3¢
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Lost
No$2.1k @ 29.7¢
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$495 @ 49.5¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
No$411 @ 34.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$4.4k @ 63.7¢
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$165 @ 33.0¢
Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Won
Over$1000 @ 33.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$4.8k @ 12.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Won
Paraguay$1.2k @ 39.0¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Lost
Liverpool FC$820 @ 41.0¢
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$170 @ 34.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$2.7k @ 13.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8.0k @ 64.9¢
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Won
Deportivo Alavés$90 @ 16.0¢
Spread: Clemson (-2.5)Lost
California$245 @ 49.0¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?Lost
Yes$295 @ 59.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Lost
Yes$403 @ 5.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$1.3k @ 65.5¢
UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)Lost
Wang Cong$723 @ 35.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$1.9k @ 47.0¢
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$7.8k @ 77.7¢
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLost
SPARTA$730 @ 73.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 33.6¢
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil MedvedevWon
Brandon Nakashima$840 @ 42.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Lost
Yes$300 @ 6.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$1.2k @ 61.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?Lost
No$500 @ 25.0¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-09?Won
No$1.1k @ 54.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Luis Hernandez (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Lost
Sedriques Dumas$10 @ 30.0¢
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Won
No$920 @ 46.0¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?Lost
Yes$265 @ 53.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Lost
No$2.3k @ 40.3¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 69.2¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Won
Over$1.1k @ 57.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 67.0¢
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)Lost
Vikings$500 @ 25.0¢
Will FC St. Gallen 1879 win on 2026-07-26?Lost
No$1.5k @ 38.0¢
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Won
Crystal Palace FC$235 @ 47.0¢
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?Lost
No$225 @ 45.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$22.9k	67.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$12.6k	86.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$6.5k	81.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$5.3k	88.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Crypto	No	$4.8k	24.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Politics	No	$4.0k	31.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$3.2k	80.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	19.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$2.4k	48.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$2.3k	18.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$2.1k	90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	45.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	24.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.8k	70.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$1.6k	80.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$1.3k	4.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1000	25.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$909	13.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$860	43.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Politics	Yes	$840	42.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Politics	Yes	$799	24.6¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Crypto	Yes	$754	6.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$668	23.7¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$667	76.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$558	8.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?	Crypto	No	$538	29.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Politics	No	$527	9.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Politics	No	$467	46.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$360	18.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$288	7.5¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$22.9k @ 67.5¢
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$12.6k @ 86.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$6.5k @ 81.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$5.3k @ 88.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto
No$4.8k @ 24.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Politics
No$4.0k @ 31.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$3.2k @ 80.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 19.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$2.4k @ 48.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$2.3k @ 18.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$2.1k @ 90.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 45.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 24.1¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.8k @ 70.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Geopolitics
Yes$1.3k @ 4.3¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$1000 @ 25.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$909 @ 13.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$860 @ 43.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
Yes$840 @ 42.0¢
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Politics
Yes$799 @ 24.6¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto
Yes$754 @ 6.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$668 @ 23.7¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$667 @ 76.1¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
Yes$558 @ 8.9¢
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Crypto
No$538 @ 29.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
No$527 @ 9.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
No$467 @ 46.7¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$360 @ 18.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
Yes$288 @ 7.5¢