← Smart money
0x9163…82ae
SharpEdge
+2.2pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
19% @ 17.2¢
Brier
0.081
Resolved
6248
Avg size
$15
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 34% (99/294) | +8% | 294 |
| Politics | 30% (80/268) | +5% | 268 |
| Sports | 23% (16/71) | +4% | 71 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other294 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (99/294)
- ROI
- +8%
- Politics268 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (80/268)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports71 bets
- Hit rate
- 23% (16/71)
- ROI
- +4%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 195/634- No$784 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$29 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 74.0¢
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?WonNo$44 @ 65.0¢
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?LostYes$37 @ 1.5¢
- No$8 @ 4.1¢
- Yes$54 @ 6.8¢
- No$0 @ 25.0¢
- No$130 @ 51.9¢
- Yes$225 @ 10.8¢
- Yes$116 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 29.0¢
- No$33 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 7.5¢
- Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?WonNo$2 @ 41.0¢
- Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?LostYes$179 @ 37.1¢
- No$47 @ 47.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 7.2¢
- No$146 @ 60.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 28.0¢
- No$73 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 32.7¢
- No$3 @ 58.0¢
- No$52 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$546 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.2¢
- No$48 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?WonNo$213 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$277 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$68 @ 18.7¢
- No$109 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$27 @ 4.0¢
- No$156 @ 52.0¢
- No$57 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$254 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 2.5¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?WonNo$992 @ 57.3¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?LostYes$38 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$61 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 4.3¢
- No$146 @ 32.3¢
- Yes$810 @ 72.5¢
- No$0 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$218 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- No$1 @ 22.0¢
- No$33 @ 6.4¢
- No$514 @ 65.3¢
- No$250 @ 50.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$11.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$11.0k @ 50.0¢
- No$724 @ 90.5¢
- No$461 @ 92.3¢
- Yes$435 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$345 @ 61.0¢
- No$307 @ 22.8¢
- No$307 @ 80.5¢
- Yes$303 @ 60.6¢
- No$273 @ 38.5¢
- No$228 @ 86.5¢
- No$223 @ 95.8¢
- No$221 @ 73.7¢
- No$214 @ 53.5¢
- No$214 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$195 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$182 @ 18.2¢
- No$176 @ 58.7¢
- No$169 @ 73.7¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- No$162 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$153 @ 29.6¢
- No$151 @ 75.5¢
- No$146 @ 73.0¢
- No$143 @ 23.3¢
- No$139 @ 86.1¢
- Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?PoliticsNo$138 @ 74.3¢
- No$134 @ 89.0¢
- No$126 @ 56.6¢