← Smart money
0x9163…82ae
SharpEdge
+3.4pp
ROI
+10%
Win rate
21% @ 17.2¢
Brier
0.102
Resolved
5560
Avg size
$17
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 36% (198/550) | +14% | 550 |
| Other | 33% (118/356) | +15% | 356 |
| Sports | 22% (16/72) | +2% | 72 |
| Culture | 67% (2/3) | +92% | 3 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +43% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics550 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (198/550)
- ROI
- +14%
- Other356 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (118/356)
- ROI
- +15%
- Sports72 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (16/72)
- ROI
- +2%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +92%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +43%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
34% hit · 335/983- Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
- No$197 @ 85.3¢
- No$784 @ 82.3¢
- Yes$29 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 6.8¢
- No$0 @ 25.0¢
- No$6 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
- No$33 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$38 @ 7.2¢
- No$73 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$160 @ 32.7¢
- No$3 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
- No$52 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$546 @ 38.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.2¢
- No$48 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.9¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?WonNo$213 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$277 @ 11.1¢
- No$109 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$27 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$45 @ 30.0¢
- No$74 @ 74.0¢
- No$57 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$170 @ 11.2¢
- Under$38 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$61 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$18 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$218 @ 62.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- No$1 @ 22.0¢
- No$33 @ 6.4¢
- No$45 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 15.0¢
- No$250 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$83 @ 14.9¢
- No$161 @ 63.6¢
- Yes$371 @ 31.4¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?LostYes$80 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$62 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$33 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$114 @ 5.7¢
- No$227 @ 61.4¢
- No$110 @ 55.0¢
- No$21 @ 7.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$4.6k @ 61.1¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 55.1¢
- No$1.9k @ 87.2¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$912 @ 91.2¢
- Yes$757 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$674 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$544 @ 55.9¢
- Yes$462 @ 17.9¢
- No$450 @ 90.0¢
- No$445 @ 89.0¢
- No$434 @ 86.8¢
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?PoliticsNo$422 @ 61.1¢
- Yes$404 @ 51.4¢
- Yes$384 @ 88.3¢
- Yes$374 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$363 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$349 @ 83.9¢
- No$346 @ 63.4¢
- Yes$345 @ 27.2¢
- Yes$316 @ 75.7¢
- Yes$290 @ 4.9¢
- No$273 @ 91.1¢
- Yes$270 @ 83.7¢
- Yes$264 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$263 @ 17.5¢
- Yes$258 @ 31.4¢
- No$251 @ 95.0¢
- No$239 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$237 @ 86.1¢
- No$231 @ 77.3¢