0xecd7…c7e1

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other176 bets

  Hit rate

  64% (112/176)

  ROI

  +14%

• Politics13 bets

  Hit rate

  92% (12/13)

  ROI

  +51%

• Geopolitics5 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (3/5)

  ROI

  +90%

• Tech1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?Won
  No$113 @ 94.5¢
• Will KÍ win on 2026-07-07?Lost
  No$30 @ 36.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 10?Lost
  No$7 @ 71.5¢
• Clavicular unbanned from Kick by January 31?Lost
  No$6 @ 51.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 9?Lost
  No$2 @ 39.0¢
• Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Won
  No$9 @ 88.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 9?Won
  No$13 @ 69.9¢
• Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be less than or equal to 0.0%?Won
  No$176 @ 81.1¢
• LGD Gaming vs Virtus.pro: Draw (1-1)?Lost
  No$28 @ 26.0¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
  No$377 @ 39.0¢
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
• Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?Won
  No$351 @ 69.3¢
• Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Won
  Yes$67 @ 84.1¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?Lost
  No$4 @ 42.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Won
  Yes$9 @ 87.2¢
• Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Won
  No$9 @ 85.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 6?Won
  No$35 @ 87.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 7?Won
  No$4 @ 71.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?Lost
  No$2 @ 47.0¢
• Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?Won
  No$10 @ 89.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 9?Won
  No$9 @ 87.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 22?Lost
  No$2 @ 1.0¢
• Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Won
  No$133 @ 88.0¢
• Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?Won
  No$195 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Lost
  No$5 @ 34.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$125 @ 25.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Won
  Yes$243 @ 76.5¢
• Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Lost
  Yes$239 @ 62.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?Lost
  No$13 @ 83.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$139 @ 87.7¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
  No$113 @ 75.0¢
• Team Liquid to win 2-0?Won
  No$8 @ 30.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 9?Won
  No$1 @ 85.0¢
• Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Won
  No$74 @ 51.9¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 6?Lost
  No$4 @ 37.5¢
• Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?Lost
  No$168 @ 64.5¢
• Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 8?Won
  No$4 @ 88.6¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
  No$417 @ 75.3¢
• Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 7?Lost
  No$9 @ 13.4¢
• Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?Won
  No$128 @ 64.0¢
• Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Lost
  Yes$82 @ 20.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?Won
  No$4 @ 81.0¢
• Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Lost
  No$8 @ 21.0¢
• Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? Won
  No$513 @ 46.9¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$101 @ 70.6¢
• Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?Won
  Yes$6 @ 64.0¢
• U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Won
  Yes$12 @ 30.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?Lost
  No$3 @ 49.0¢
• Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?Won
  No$162 @ 87.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Won
  Yes$97 @ 88.4¢

Current positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Politics
  Yes$214 @ 97.4¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Politics
  No$126 @ 96.9¢
• Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?Geopolitics
  No$119 @ 99.2¢
• Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?Tech
  No$116 @ 96.6¢
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics
  No$115 @ 95.9¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics
  Yes$113 @ 81.0¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics
  No$110 @ 92.0¢
• Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Politics
  No$110 @ 97.4¢
• Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Politics
  Yes$108 @ 83.2¢
• Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by October 31?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
• Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?Culture
  Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
• Mamdani visits the White House by October 31?Politics
  Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
• Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Geopolitics
  No$4 @ 99.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?—
  No$2 @ 44.0¢