0x8817…cda8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x881713021866ab84467b2b552b6cd7a51ac9cda8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+10.4pp

ROI

+62%

Win rate

63% @ 52.4¢

Brier

0.206

Resolved

409

Avg size

$47

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	69% (77/111)	-1%	111
Other	34% (34/99)	-25%	99
Politics	64% (23/36)	+119%	36
Sports	48% (13/27)	-25%	27

Science111 bets
Hit rate
69% (77/111)
ROI
-1%
Other99 bets
Hit rate
34% (34/99)
ROI
-25%
Politics36 bets
Hit rate
64% (23/36)
ROI
+119%
Sports27 bets
Hit rate
48% (13/27)
ROI
-25%

Track record

54% hit · 147/273

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?	No	$475	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 2?	Yes	$400	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on November 2?	No	$562	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	$61	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 2?	Yes	$448	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 2?	No	$130	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 2?	No	$519	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2?	No	$30	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 2?	Yes	$448	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	$195	99.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	$230	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?	No	$649	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?	No	$135	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?	Yes	$175	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2?	No	$60	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2?	No	$90	99.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	$591	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	$1.0k	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	$715	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2?	Yes	$707	99.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	$170	99.7¢	Won
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	$58	87.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?	No	$423	82.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	$7	86.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?	No	$54	89.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	$8	22.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	$2	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	$61	76.1¢	Won
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 3 - 0 CA Mineiro?	No	$94	84.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1?	Yes	$28	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?	No	$4	87.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 22?	No	$53	66.3¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$1.8k	28.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?	Yes	$34	78.0¢	Won
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-20?	No	$63	62.0¢	Lost
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	$378	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	No	$7	66.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	$47	85.7¢	Won
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	$303	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?	Yes	$6	19.9¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	$7	21.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 25?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?	Yes	$2	3.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?	No	$100	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	$48	77.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?	Yes	$22	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 9?	Yes	$9	23.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?	Yes	$69	86.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 9?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 2 - 0 CA Mineiro?	No	$13	66.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2?Won
No$475 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 2?Won
Yes$400 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on November 2?Won
No$562 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on November 2?Won
Yes$61 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on November 2?Won
Yes$448 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 2?Won
No$130 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 2?Won
No$519 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 2?Won
No$30 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 2?Won
Yes$448 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 2?Won
Yes$195 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?Won
Yes$230 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?Won
No$649 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 2?Won
No$135 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 2?Won
Yes$175 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 2?Won
No$60 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on November 2?Won
No$90 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?Won
Yes$591 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 2?Won
Yes$715 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 2?Won
Yes$707 @ 99.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 2?Won
Yes$170 @ 99.7¢
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Won
Yes$58 @ 87.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?Lost
No$423 @ 82.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?Won
Yes$7 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 30?Won
No$54 @ 89.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?Lost
Yes$8 @ 22.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?Won
No$61 @ 76.1¢
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 3 - 0 CA Mineiro?Won
No$94 @ 84.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1?Won
Yes$28 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 25?Won
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 22?Won
No$53 @ 66.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$1.8k @ 28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 23?Won
Yes$34 @ 78.0¢
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-20?Lost
No$63 @ 62.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?Won
Yes$378 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?Won
No$7 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30?Won
Yes$47 @ 85.7¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-11?Won
No$303 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 9?Lost
Yes$6 @ 19.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Won
Yes$7 @ 21.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?Won
No$100 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$48 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?Won
Yes$22 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 9?Won
Yes$9 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?Won
Yes$69 @ 86.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 9?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 2 - 0 CA Mineiro?Lost
No$13 @ 66.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Politics	No	$3.1k	90.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$2.8k	95.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Politics	No	$2.6k	99.4¢
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.5k	96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?	Science	No	$1.5k	98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 2?	Science	No	$1.2k	99.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?	Science	No	$962	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$804	94.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 2?	Science	No	$799	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 2?	Science	No	$799	99.9¢
Will Grêmio win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?	Sports	No	$798	87.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$785	99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$685	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?	Science	No	$599	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 2?	Science	No	$518	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 2?	Science	No	$497	99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$485	99.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2?	Science	No	$461	99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$442	99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Politics	Yes	$405	99.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Politics	Yes	$386	70.2¢
Will Atlético Mineiro win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?	Sports	Yes	$329	26.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?	Science	No	$325	93.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?	Science	Yes	$323	99.1¢
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?	Politics	No	$290	96.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?	Science	No	$289	99.9¢
Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Sports	Yes	$243	51.7¢
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?	Sports	No	$220	58.0¢
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?	Sports	No	$173	72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	Science	No	$170	99.9¢

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics
No$3.1k @ 90.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$2.8k @ 95.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
No$2.6k @ 99.4¢
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics
No$2.5k @ 96.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on November 2?Science
No$1.5k @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on November 2?Science
No$1.2k @ 99.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on November 2?Science
No$962 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?Science
Yes$804 @ 94.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 2?Science
No$799 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on November 2?Science
No$799 @ 99.9¢
Will Grêmio win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?Sports
No$798 @ 87.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?Science
Yes$785 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on November 2?Science
Yes$685 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on November 2?Science
No$599 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 2?Science
No$518 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on November 2?Science
No$497 @ 99.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?Science
Yes$485 @ 99.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2?Science
No$461 @ 99.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on November 2?Science
Yes$442 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?Politics
Yes$405 @ 99.6¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
Yes$386 @ 70.2¢
Will Atlético Mineiro win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?Sports
Yes$329 @ 26.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?Science
No$325 @ 93.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?Science
Yes$323 @ 99.1¢
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?Politics
No$290 @ 96.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?Science
No$289 @ 99.9¢
Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?Sports
Yes$243 @ 51.7¢
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil?Sports
No$220 @ 58.0¢
Will Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?Sports
No$173 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?Science
No$170 @ 99.9¢