0x7ed0…9c4f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7ed0a33693a19378318f160064e4f9c1c27a9c4f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+12.2pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

47% @ 34.4¢

Brier

0.199

Resolved

238

Avg size

$14

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	51% (29/57)	+0%	57
Sports	50% (7/14)	+78%	14
Politics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Business	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other57 bets
Hit rate
51% (29/57)
ROI
+0%
Sports14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
+78%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Business1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

49% hit · 36/74

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$27	82.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$1	35.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$22	27.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	$8	20.0¢	Lost
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$52	52.0¢	Lost
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?	Yes	$16	71.0¢	Won
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$44	22.0¢	Lost
Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Lost
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?	SD	$31	78.0¢	Lost
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Over	$15	49.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$135	89.7¢	Won
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?	No	$12	31.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Lost
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	20.0¢	Won
Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$58	54.4¢	Won
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance	Cabo Verde	$6	5.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$67	67.0¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	$104	56.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	Yes	$120	80.0¢	Won
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Lost
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	20.0¢	Won
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$30	43.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "History" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$19	73.8¢	Won
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$44	76.5¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$60	30.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	Yes	$248	65.9¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Corner" 22+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$72	55.4¢	Won
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance	Colombia	$60	60.0¢	Lost
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Won
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$7	36.0¢	Lost
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$40	88.9¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$7	1.8¢	Lost
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	$50	86.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	No	$78	78.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Euro" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?	No	$38	14.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	$82	81.5¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$14	22.0¢	Won
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	$3	2.5¢	Lost
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	No	$47	43.5¢	Won
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$19	5.5¢	Won
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$256	62.9¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?	Yes	$56	56.0¢	Lost
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$34	59.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$0	5.0¢	Won
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$163	81.5¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Won

Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Lost
No$27 @ 82.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
Yes$1 @ 35.0¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$22 @ 27.0¢
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?Lost
Yes$8 @ 20.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$52 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by July 31?Won
Yes$16 @ 71.0¢
Will Mohamed Salah play in Premier League next?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$44 @ 22.0¢
Will Erling Haaland win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Lost
SD$31 @ 78.0¢
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Lost
Over$15 @ 49.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
No$135 @ 89.7¢
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Lost
No$12 @ 31.0¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
No$1 @ 20.0¢
Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$58 @ 54.4¢
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceLost
Cabo Verde$6 @ 5.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Lost
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
Yes$104 @ 56.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Won
Yes$120 @ 80.0¢
Will Rodri win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$12 @ 20.0¢
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Lost
Yes$30 @ 43.0¢
Will the announcers say "History" during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$19 @ 73.8¢
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$44 @ 76.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Lost
No$60 @ 30.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Won
Yes$248 @ 65.9¢
Will the announcers say "Corner" 22+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Won
No$72 @ 55.4¢
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceLost
Colombia$60 @ 60.0¢
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?Won
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$7 @ 36.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$40 @ 88.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.8¢
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Won
Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Won
No$78 @ 78.0¢
Will the announcers say "Euro" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
No$38 @ 14.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Won
No$82 @ 81.5¢
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$14 @ 22.0¢
Will Flavio Cobolli be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.5¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Won
No$47 @ 43.5¢
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Won
Yes$19 @ 5.5¢
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$256 @ 62.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Lost
Yes$56 @ 56.0¢
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$34 @ 59.0¢
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Won
Yes$0 @ 5.0¢
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$163 @ 81.5¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Won
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Politics	No	$846	84.8¢
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Politics	No	$703	87.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$430	86.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$206	43.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$196	86.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$184	72.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$180	24.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$179	63.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$176	88.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$175	70.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	—	No	$175	79.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$170	60.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$170	45.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$166	83.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$124	75.0¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Sports	Yes	$122	11.9¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$122	43.4¢
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	—	Yes	$122	42.6¢
Will Gonçalo Ramos (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	—	No	$119	74.6¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?	—	Yes	$117	55.6¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	—	No	$110	55.0¢
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	—	Yes	$109	49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$106	53.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$96	20.0¢
Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	—	Yes	$91	32.4¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$85	53.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	—	No	$82	82.0¢
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Crypto	No	$80	40.0¢
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?	—	Yes	$76	38.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?	Other	No	$75	84.8¢

Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics
No$846 @ 84.8¢
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Politics
No$703 @ 87.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$430 @ 86.9¢
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $7.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$206 @ 43.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$196 @ 86.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$184 @ 72.0¢
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Sports
Yes$180 @ 24.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$179 @ 63.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech
No$175 @ 70.0¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #2 searched person on Google this year?—
No$175 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$170 @ 60.2¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$170 @ 45.7¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$166 @ 83.0¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$124 @ 75.0¢
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Sports
Yes$122 @ 11.9¢
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.25 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$122 @ 43.4¢
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?—
Yes$122 @ 42.6¢
Will Gonçalo Ramos (Milan) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?—
No$119 @ 74.6¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?—
Yes$117 @ 55.6¢
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?—
No$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?—
Yes$109 @ 49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$106 @ 53.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$96 @ 20.0¢
Will Florian Dinger win the next Göttingen mayoral election?—
Yes$91 @ 32.4¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$85 @ 53.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?—
No$82 @ 82.0¢
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Crypto
No$80 @ 40.0¢
Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?—
Yes$76 @ 38.0¢
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?Other
No$75 @ 84.8¢