0x1abc…45e7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.0pp

ROI

+19%

Win rate

42% @ 32.6¢

Brier

0.143

Resolved

358

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	20% (475/2423)	+0%	2423
Science	11% (77/683)	+11%	683
Politics	12% (10/86)	-72%	86
Sports	51% (19/37)	-4%	37
Tech	7% (1/14)	-32%	14
Culture	23% (3/13)	-10%	13
Economy	14% (1/7)	-40%	7
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	-52%	5
Business	0% (0/2)	—	2

Other2423 bets
Hit rate
20% (475/2423)
ROI
+0%
Science683 bets
Hit rate
11% (77/683)
ROI
+11%
Politics86 bets
Hit rate
12% (10/86)
ROI
-72%
Sports37 bets
Hit rate
51% (19/37)
ROI
-4%
Tech14 bets
Hit rate
7% (1/14)
ROI
-32%
Culture13 bets
Hit rate
23% (3/13)
ROI
-10%
Economy7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
-40%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-52%
Business2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
—

Track record

18% hit · 587/3270

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	No	$17	79.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$4	10.0¢	Won
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?	No	$10	87.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	$1	8.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?	No	$42	75.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	$9	50.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 20?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	No	$75	43.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	Yes	$71	69.4¢	Lost
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$9	17.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 20?	No	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Lost
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$70	29.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?	No	$9	57.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?	Yes	$12	64.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?	No	$3	64.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Lost
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	$13	13.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 20?	No	$10	68.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?	No	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?	No	$2	56.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?	No	$4	15.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	$1	53.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	No	$26	82.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	$8	29.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	No	$1	8.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$51	3.1¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 20?	No	$6	78.0¢	Lost
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$3	10.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?	No	$8	65.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	$3	7.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	No	$42	33.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	$4	70.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 20?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?	No	$11	13.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	$1	5.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?	No	$7	28.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?	No	$12	57.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?	No	$4	23.4¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Lost
No$17 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?Won
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 21?Won
No$10 @ 87.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 8.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?Won
No$42 @ 75.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$9 @ 50.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Won
No$75 @ 43.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$71 @ 69.4¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
No$9 @ 17.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 20?Lost
No$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$70 @ 29.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Won
No$9 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$12 @ 64.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?Won
No$3 @ 64.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?Lost
No$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.3¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 20?Won
No$10 @ 68.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?Lost
No$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 20?Won
No$2 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?Lost
No$4 @ 15.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21?Won
Yes$1 @ 53.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Won
No$26 @ 82.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$8 @ 29.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?Lost
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
No$51 @ 3.1¢
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 20?Lost
No$6 @ 78.0¢
Will CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Lost
No$3 @ 10.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?Won
No$8 @ 65.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?Lost
No$42 @ 33.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 70.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?Lost
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?Won
No$11 @ 13.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?Won
No$7 @ 28.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?Won
No$12 @ 57.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 21?Lost
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20?Lost
No$4 @ 23.4¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$33	30.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$2	80.0¢
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	Business	No	$1	98.3¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Politics	No	$0	0.0¢
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Politics	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Politics	Yes	$0	0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$0	0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?	Business	No	$0	0.0¢

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$33 @ 30.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$2 @ 80.0¢
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Business
No$1 @ 98.3¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Travis Kelce be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Culture
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Austin Magee be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Politics
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?Business
No$0 @ 0.0¢