0x1abc…45e7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1abc2b469b5ded495d6c8b21fc79dcb8d8f345e7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.8pp

ROI

+29%

Win rate

17% @ 12.2¢

Brier

0.061

Resolved

347

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	11% (97/915)	+5%	915
Science	11% (77/683)	+11%	683
Politics	13% (5/38)	-21%	38
Sports	38% (8/21)	-10%	21
Culture	14% (1/7)	+10%	7
Tech	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+248%	1

Other915 bets
Hit rate
11% (97/915)
ROI
+5%
Science683 bets
Hit rate
11% (77/683)
ROI
+11%
Politics38 bets
Hit rate
13% (5/38)
ROI
-21%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
-10%
Culture7 bets
Hit rate
14% (1/7)
ROI
+10%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+248%

Track record

11% hit · 189/1667

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	No	$15	23.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	$3	40.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?	No	$1	10.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	No	$2	89.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	No	$15	22.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	$25	75.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?	Yes	$4	4.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 27?	Yes	$0	3.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 87°F or below on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	$2	4.9¢	Lost
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	No	$2	41.8¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Lost
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	$2	16.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?	No	$3	10.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	1.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	1.7¢	Lost
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 26?	Yes	$0	5.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on June 27?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?Lost
No$15 @ 23.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?Won
Yes$3 @ 40.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?Lost
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 26?Won
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?Won
No$2 @ 89.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Lost
No$15 @ 22.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Won
Yes$25 @ 75.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Draw at halftime?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 81°F or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 87°F or below on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$2 @ 4.9¢
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Won
No$2 @ 41.8¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Won
No$2 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?Lost
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?Won
No$3 @ 10.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 5.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on June 27?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?	Geopolitics	Yes	$40	33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?	—	Yes	$40	74.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$33	30.0¢
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$26	2.6¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Tech	No	$20	99.9¢
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Geopolitics	No	$14	34.0¢
Will Scotland win the World Cup?	—	Yes	$10	12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	9.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?	—	Yes	$8	8.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$7	7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?	—	Yes	$6	31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$6	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	—	Yes	$5	9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 27?	—	No	$5	99.8¢
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on June 26?	—	Yes	$5	9.1¢
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Politics	Yes	$4	2.6¢
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?	—	Yes	$4	16.7¢

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?Geopolitics
Yes$40 @ 33.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?—
Yes$40 @ 74.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$33 @ 30.0¢
Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech
No$20 @ 99.9¢
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Geopolitics
No$14 @ 34.0¢
Will Scotland win the World Cup?—
Yes$10 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 9.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 8.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 26?—
Yes$8 @ 8.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 26?—
Yes$7 @ 7.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?—
Yes$6 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on June 26?—
Yes$6 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?—
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on June 27?—
No$5 @ 99.8¢
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 12.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on June 26?—
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Politics
Yes$4 @ 2.6¢
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by less than 10%?—
Yes$4 @ 16.7¢