← Smart money
0xb100…6461
SharpEdge
-2.8pp
ROI
+8%
Win rate
8% @ 10.7¢
Brier
0.028
Resolved
823
Avg size
$99
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 45% (18/40) | -1% | 40 |
| Politics | 70% (28/40) | +40% | 40 |
| Other | 70% (28/40) | +9% | 40 |
| Tech | 75% (18/24) | +17% | 24 |
| Geopolitics | 82% (9/11) | -28% | 11 |
| Crypto | 75% (3/4) | +108% | 4 |
| Culture | 100% (2/2) | +18% | 2 |
| Business | 100% (1/1) | +4% | 1 |
- Sports40 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (18/40)
- ROI
- -1%
- Politics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (28/40)
- ROI
- +40%
- Other40 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (28/40)
- ROI
- +9%
- Tech24 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (18/24)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- -28%
- Crypto4 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +108%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +18%
- Business1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +4%
Track record
66% hit · 107/162- Yes$3.3k @ 49.6¢
- No$2.3k @ 88.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$382 @ 54.2¢
- Yes$836 @ 64.0¢
- No$4.2k @ 79.0¢
- Yes$193 @ 15.9¢
- No$1.7k @ 63.0¢
- No$241 @ 88.2¢
- Yes$43.2k @ 84.5¢
- Under$4 @ 82.0¢
- No$12.1k @ 58.1¢
- No$63 @ 82.7¢
- No$1.4k @ 69.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 7.0¢
- Under$3 @ 58.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 79.4¢
- Yes$4.3k @ 35.5¢
- No$147 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 46.0¢
- No$3.5k @ 74.9¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 8.7¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 10.9¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 16.1¢
- No$6.2k @ 66.9¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 16.1¢
- No$34.2k @ 88.4¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 8.4¢
- Yes$888 @ 96.8¢
- No$5.9k @ 98.5¢
- Yes$224 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 10.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 3.4¢
- Under$116 @ 32.0¢
- No$28.9k @ 96.2¢
- Yes$5.3k @ 3.1¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 5.5¢
- No$4.9k @ 83.6¢
- No$15 @ 93.8¢
- No$416 @ 93.3¢
- Yes$44 @ 5.6¢
- No$620 @ 99.2¢
- Yes$180 @ 0.9¢
- No$492 @ 93.0¢
- No$7.4k @ 92.0¢
- No$404 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$541 @ 84.0¢
- No$40.0k @ 99.9¢
- No$265 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$287 @ 65.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$42.5k @ 82.6¢
- Yes$38.5k @ 77.0¢
- No$33.6k @ 90.9¢
- No$24.7k @ 98.2¢
- No$24.3k @ 85.9¢
- Yes$21.5k @ 64.3¢
- Yes$16.8k @ 24.6¢
- No$16.5k @ 77.7¢
- No$15.9k @ 90.3¢
- No$12.1k @ 95.8¢
- No$11.8k @ 78.5¢
- No$11.3k @ 82.0¢
- No$10.6k @ 68.7¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$9.8k @ 80.3¢
- Yes$9.0k @ 96.3¢
- No$8.9k @ 81.7¢
- No$8.3k @ 90.8¢
- Yes$7.9k @ 62.2¢
- No$7.6k @ 64.0¢
- No$7.4k @ 65.1¢
- No$6.5k @ 84.7¢
- No$5.6k @ 37.5¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 82.9¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 35.9¢
- No$4.7k @ 90.1¢
- Yes$4.2k @ 58.4¢
- No$4.1k @ 78.6¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 83.9¢
- Yes$3.0k @ 9.9¢
- No$3.0k @ 62.7¢