0xb100…6461

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Tech9 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (5/9)

  ROI

  +32%

• Crypto4 bets

  Hit rate

  75% (3/4)

  ROI

  +73%

• Politics3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +26%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +89%

• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$14.2k @ 13.2¢
• GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Won
  No$2.2k @ 87.2¢
• Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?Won
  Yes$307 @ 76.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$25.5k @ 21.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$37.2k @ 6.1¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$725 @ 66.5¢
• Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 61.9¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Lost
  No$3.7k @ 29.5¢
• Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 53.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$10.5k @ 87.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$6.8k @ 25.6¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$19.8k @ 70.6¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Won
  No$7.0k @ 45.1¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$3.9k @ 62.0¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 37.1¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 15.0¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Won
  No$7.7k @ 60.0¢

Current positions

• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  No$34.2k @ 88.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics
  Yes$24.5k @ 60.8¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Other
  No$18.4k @ 96.5¢
• Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Politics
  No$18.1k @ 97.1¢
• Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics
  No$17.2k @ 94.7¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$10.0k @ 19.6¢
• World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Sports
  No$9.8k @ 95.8¢
• Netanyahu out by June 30?Politics
  No$9.3k @ 97.6¢
• Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?Sports
  No$6.8k @ 96.1¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
  No$6.5k @ 58.6¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Geopolitics
  No$6.4k @ 97.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Other
  No$5.7k @ 97.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 74.6¢
• Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Culture
  No$4.9k @ 83.6¢
• Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$4.8k @ 16.1¢
• Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$4.8k @ 16.1¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$3.6k @ 85.0¢
• Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$3.4k @ 82.9¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$3.3k @ 10.9¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$3.0k @ 10.0¢
• Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?Culture
  No$2.9k @ 93.4¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Other
  No$2.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.8k @ 92.0¢
• Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$2.6k @ 8.7¢
• Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$2.5k @ 8.4¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  Yes$2.2k @ 28.8¢
• GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Tech
  No$1.9k @ 78.2¢
• Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Tech
  No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
• Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Tech
  No$1.7k @ 62.7¢