0xb100…6461

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics116 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (85/116)

  ROI

  +13%

• Sports88 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (55/88)

  ROI

  +8%

• Other80 bets

  Hit rate

  61% (49/80)

  ROI

  +31%

• Tech54 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (43/54)

  ROI

  +19%

• Geopolitics30 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (25/30)

  ROI

  +1%

• Culture24 bets

  Hit rate

  79% (19/24)

  ROI

  +8%

• Crypto9 bets

  Hit rate

  89% (8/9)

  ROI

  +101%

• Business5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  -52%

• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$6.4k @ 84.7¢
• Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$188 @ 99.3¢
• Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Won
  No$3.1k @ 93.0¢
• Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?Won
  No$10 @ 98.0¢
• Cornell President out by October 31?Won
  No$20 @ 54.0¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$427 @ 77.0¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Won
  No$737 @ 90.0¢
• Iran leadership change by October 31?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 1.3¢
• Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?Won
  No$478 @ 90.9¢
• Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Won
  No$909 @ 91.0¢
• Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by October 31?Won
  No$329 @ 95.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$7.6k @ 64.0¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$692 @ 98.2¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$4.2k @ 58.4¢
• Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$833 @ 77.4¢
• France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$9.9k @ 87.1¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$3.7k @ 85.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Won
  Yes$8.7k @ 63.7¢
• Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?Lost
  Yes$114 @ 3.6¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?Won
  No$1.4k @ 99.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Won
  No$1.5k @ 95.0¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 76.4¢
• Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31?Won
  Yes$284 @ 55.2¢
• Paris curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Won
  Yes$1.3k @ 85.7¢
• Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
  No$194 @ 74.6¢
• Will Jürgen Klopp attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
  No$202 @ 75.1¢
• Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
  No$332 @ 86.9¢
• Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
  No$129 @ 72.0¢
• Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Won
  No$3.0k @ 96.5¢
• Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
  Yes$3.0k @ 9.9¢
• Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$572 @ 91.1¢
• Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
  Yes$16.8k @ 24.6¢
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
  No$543 @ 75.1¢
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$13 @ 71.6¢
• Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$3.8k @ 85.3¢
• Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$4.2k @ 96.4¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$33.6k @ 90.9¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Lost
  Yes$270 @ 9.0¢
• Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$2.9k @ 98.1¢
• Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$126 @ 93.9¢
• Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$2.2k @ 85.4¢
• Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$588 @ 98.9¢
• Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$43 @ 96.4¢
• Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$589 @ 92.0¢
• Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$2.5k @ 95.5¢
• Will Claudia Pina finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$54 @ 90.0¢
• Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Won
  Mbappé$2.7k @ 51.0¢
• Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Lost
  Yamal$1.2k @ 51.0¢
• Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Won
  No$37 @ 92.0¢
• Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$2.7k @ 97.4¢

Current positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$50.0k @ 70.6¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
  No$38.9k @ 95.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$22.9k @ 84.0¢
• Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$20.4k @ 68.1¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$17.6k @ 98.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$17.3k @ 69.0¢
• Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$13.3k @ 72.0¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
  No$13.3k @ 95.9¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$12.0k @ 81.4¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.1k @ 60.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$9.6k @ 70.9¢
• Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics
  No$9.2k @ 66.0¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$9.0k @ 65.5¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$7.9k @ 85.2¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics
  No$7.2k @ 59.0¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$5.8k @ 54.4¢
• Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$5.0k @ 38.7¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$4.4k @ 81.4¢
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 73.0¢
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4.0k @ 80.1¢
• Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech
  Yes$3.1k @ 56.4¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$2.8k @ 85.3¢
• Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 83.9¢
• Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$2.3k @ 71.1¢
• Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Politics
  Yes$2.3k @ 80.8¢
• Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 78.5¢
• Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 79.1¢
• Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026?Tech
  No$2.0k @ 90.8¢
• Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?Crypto
  No$1.8k @ 23.0¢
• Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026?Tech
  No$1.7k @ 94.3¢