← Smart money
0x38f5…6824
SharpEdge
+3.7pp
ROI
+58%
Win rate
16% @ 12.6¢
Brier
0.055
Resolved
662
Avg size
$23
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 27% (16/59) | -7% | 59 |
| Other | 50% (7/14) | +8% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | 25% (2/8) | -24% | 8 |
| Tech | 57% (4/7) | -8% | 7 |
| Crypto | 40% (2/5) | +245% | 5 |
| Economy | 33% (1/3) | +51% | 3 |
| Culture | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
- Politics59 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (16/59)
- ROI
- -7%
- Other14 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (7/14)
- ROI
- +8%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- -24%
- Tech7 bets
- Hit rate
- 57% (4/7)
- ROI
- -8%
- Crypto5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- +245%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +51%
- Culture3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
32% hit · 32/99- No$359 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
- No$510 @ 12.6¢
- Yes$325 @ 83.0¢
- No$135 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$236 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$765 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$886 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$45 @ 1.7¢
- No$153 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$226 @ 7.7¢
- No$26 @ 20.9¢
- Yes$48 @ 43.4¢
- No$192 @ 27.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 11.1¢
- No$18 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
- Delhi Capitals$8 @ 41.0¢
- Rajasthan Royals$74 @ 51.4¢
- No$18 @ 83.8¢
- No$75 @ 3.1¢
- No$3.5k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$197 @ 0.5¢
- No$4 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
- Yes$254 @ 8.6¢
- No$276 @ 45.7¢
- Yes$9 @ 16.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 52.0¢
- No$2 @ 1.4¢
- No$18 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$80 @ 3.9¢
- No$23 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$13 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
- No$18 @ 83.8¢
- No$4 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 22.0¢
- No$2 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 82.9¢
- No$493 @ 87.8¢
- Yes$56 @ 2.8¢
- Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?WonYes$7 @ 80.0¢
- Punjab Kings$76 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$61 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Recent trades
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