0xc741…73f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xc741cd7fa60d4a3eb288551cadae5a1c8a9973f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+4.1pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

54% @ 49.8¢

Brier

0.207

Resolved

1187

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	54% (241/447)	+2%	447
Sports	57% (161/281)	+15%	281
Politics	57% (8/14)	-9%	14
Science	100% (8/8)	+1%	8
Crypto	100% (4/4)	+5%	4
Tech	33% (1/3)	-27%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+85%	1

Other447 bets
Hit rate
54% (241/447)
ROI
+2%
Sports281 bets
Hit rate
57% (161/281)
ROI
+15%
Politics14 bets
Hit rate
57% (8/14)
ROI
-9%
Science8 bets
Hit rate
100% (8/8)
ROI
+1%
Crypto4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+5%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-27%
Geopolitics2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+85%

Track record

56% hit · 424/760

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 19?	No	$13	98.8¢	Won
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	$6	99.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 19?	No	$13	99.0¢	Won
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	$0	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	$5	96.8¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?	No	$13	98.2¢	Won
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5	Over	$4	55.0¢	Lost
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	$4	60.0¢	Won
Panthers vs. Eagles	Panthers	$7	60.0¢	Won
Spread: Bears (-1.5)	Bears	$4	48.0¢	Won
Ravens vs. Browns	Ravens	$4	68.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)	Browns	$3	52.0¢	Won
Spread: Wake Forest (-10.5)	California	$4	51.0¢	Lost
Spread: Ohio (-15.5)	Ohio	$4	52.0¢	Won
Portland Timbers vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 7.5	Under	$13	98.4¢	Won
Spread: San Jose State (-7.5)	San Jose State	$2	46.0¢	Won
Spread: Oregon State (-19.5)	Oregon State	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Georgia State vs. James Madison: O/U 57.5	Over	$4	51.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 16?	No	$13	99.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 16?	No	$13	98.0¢	Won
Memphis vs. Tulane	Memphis	$4	69.0¢	Lost
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 49.5	Under	$3	50.0¢	Lost
Raptors vs. Pistons	Pistons	$4	79.0¢	Won
Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	$4	77.0¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	$5	95.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	$13	98.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 15?	No	$13	98.5¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14?	No	$9	99.0¢	Won
Will England win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	$12	98.0¢	Won
Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 7.5	Under	$12	98.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?	No	$12	99.1¢	Won
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-10-12?	No	$12	98.1¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	$5	98.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	No	$12	98.3¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 11?	No	$12	99.2¢	Won
Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5	Under	$4	52.0¢	Won
Bears vs. Packers	Packers	$5	43.0¢	Won
Spread: Boise State (-8.5)	Fresno State	$9	50.0¢	Won
Spread: Oregon (-11.5)	UCLA	$3	51.0¢	Won
Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-3.5)	SG Dynamo Dresden	$11	98.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Yandex	$9	79.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 9?	No	$11	98.4¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$3	97.0¢	Won
Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	$9	63.6¢	Won
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Bernardo Sopaj	$0	54.0¢	Won
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$13	84.0¢	Won
Pacers vs. Cavaliers	Pacers	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	$4	53.0¢	Won
Michigan vs. Minnesota	Minnesota	$4	32.0¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 19?Won
No$13 @ 98.8¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Won
No$6 @ 99.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 19?Won
No$13 @ 99.0¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Lost
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Won
Yes$5 @ 96.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18?Won
No$13 @ 98.2¢
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5Lost
Over$4 @ 55.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansWon
Tampa Bay Rays$4 @ 60.0¢
Panthers vs. EaglesWon
Panthers$7 @ 60.0¢
Spread: Bears (-1.5)Won
Bears$4 @ 48.0¢
Ravens vs. BrownsLost
Ravens$4 @ 68.0¢
Spread: Ravens (-5.5)Won
Browns$3 @ 52.0¢
Spread: Wake Forest (-10.5)Lost
California$4 @ 51.0¢
Spread: Ohio (-15.5)Won
Ohio$4 @ 52.0¢
Portland Timbers vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 7.5Won
Under$13 @ 98.4¢
Spread: San Jose State (-7.5)Won
San Jose State$2 @ 46.0¢
Spread: Oregon State (-19.5)Lost
Oregon State$3 @ 50.0¢
Georgia State vs. James Madison: O/U 57.5Won
Over$4 @ 51.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 16?Won
No$13 @ 99.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 16?Won
No$13 @ 98.0¢
Memphis vs. TulaneLost
Memphis$4 @ 69.0¢
Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 49.5Lost
Under$3 @ 50.0¢
Raptors vs. PistonsWon
Pistons$4 @ 79.0¢
Celtics vs. 76ersLost
76ers$4 @ 77.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?Won
No$5 @ 95.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?Won
No$13 @ 98.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 15?Won
No$13 @ 98.5¢
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 14?Won
No$9 @ 99.0¢
Will England win on 2026-10-13?Won
Yes$12 @ 98.0¢
Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 7.5Won
Under$12 @ 98.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 12?Won
No$12 @ 99.1¢
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-10-12?Won
No$12 @ 98.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Won
Yes$5 @ 98.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?Won
No$12 @ 98.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 11?Won
No$12 @ 99.2¢
Broncos vs. Chargers: O/U 42.5Won
Under$4 @ 52.0¢
Bears vs. PackersWon
Packers$5 @ 43.0¢
Spread: Boise State (-8.5)Won
Fresno State$9 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Oregon (-11.5)Won
UCLA$3 @ 51.0¢
Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-3.5)Won
SG Dynamo Dresden$11 @ 98.0¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsWon
Team Yandex$9 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 9?Won
No$11 @ 98.4¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
No$3 @ 97.0¢
Rams vs. EaglesWon
Rams$9 @ 63.6¢
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)Won
Bernardo Sopaj$0 @ 54.0¢
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Lost
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Pacers vs. CavaliersWon
Cavaliers$13 @ 84.0¢
Pacers vs. CavaliersLost
Pacers$2 @ 23.0¢
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Won
Broncos$4 @ 53.0¢
Michigan vs. MinnesotaWon
Minnesota$4 @ 32.0¢

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$24	86.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 19?	Science	No	$13	99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 19?	Science	No	$13	98.8¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Sports	No	$6	99.8¢
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Sports	Steelers	$5	54.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Geopolitics	No	$5	98.9¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$3	82.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Politics	No	$3	90.6¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3	60.3¢

Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy
Yes$24 @ 86.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 19?Science
No$13 @ 99.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 19?Science
No$13 @ 98.8¢
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Sports
No$6 @ 99.8¢
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Sports
Steelers$5 @ 54.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Geopolitics
No$5 @ 98.9¢
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$3 @ 82.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics
No$3 @ 90.6¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$3 @ 60.3¢