0xe25b…0f1b

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other184 bets

  Hit rate

  51% (94/184)

  ROI

  +19%

• Politics30 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (18/30)

  ROI

  +15%

• Sports10 bets

  Hit rate

  20% (2/10)

  ROI

  -35%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  +8%

• Culture3 bets

  Hit rate

  33% (1/3)

  ROI

  -98%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Crypto1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +16%

• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$1.8k @ 87.8¢
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Lost
  Yes$199 @ 46.7¢
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Won
  No$4.4k @ 91.0¢
• Rams vs. SeahawksWon
  Seahawks$8.4k @ 76.7¢
• Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Lost
  Yes$284 @ 27.2¢
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
  Yes$2.0k @ 54.2¢
• Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Won
  Yes$114 @ 22.0¢
• Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Won
  No$551 @ 80.3¢
• Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Lost
  Yes$948 @ 28.0¢
• Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?Won
  Yes$2.4k @ 48.0¢
• UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)Lost
  Brad Tavares$5.5k @ 46.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$27.0k @ 75.0¢
• Clavicular charged by Jan 31?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 40.0¢
• Stars vs. FlyersWon
  Flyers$9.8k @ 39.0¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Won
  No$6.5k @ 66.7¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Lost
  Yes$68 @ 23.0¢
• Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Won
  Yes$127 @ 78.0¢
• Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?Lost
  Yes$370 @ 12.3¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$95 @ 5.8¢
• GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.2k @ 45.0¢
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Lost
  No$152 @ 4.5¢
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?Won
  Yes$15.4k @ 66.1¢
• Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?Lost
  Yes$226 @ 7.9¢
• UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)Won
  Vitor Petrino$6.7k @ 67.0¢
• Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
  No$320 @ 20.0¢
• Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 69.0¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$34.3k @ 67.4¢
• Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?Lost
  No$8.4k @ 28.0¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$6.6k @ 66.4¢
• Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?Lost
  Yes$3.3k @ 22.1¢
• Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 2.9¢
• U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Lost
  No$1.9k @ 34.9¢
• Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?Won
  Yes$355 @ 66.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$46.8k @ 65.0¢
• Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 56.5¢
• Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?Won
  Yes$680 @ 68.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
  No$23.9k @ 62.0¢
• Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Won
  Yes$83.4k @ 89.0¢
• Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$5.8k @ 6.8¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$20.2k @ 50.0¢
• Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1.5k @ 74.0¢
• Patriots vs. BroncosLost
  Broncos$2.5k @ 56.0¢
• Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?Won
  Yes$137 @ 9.1¢
• Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?Lost
  Yes$324 @ 7.4¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Lost
  Yes$17.4k @ 12.3¢
• Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 14.7¢
• Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$7.1k @ 79.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
  Yes$60.2k @ 38.0¢
• US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Lost
  Yes$320 @ 11.1¢
• US government shutdown Saturday?Lost
  No$58.5k @ 47.5¢

Current positions

• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
  No$119.5k @ 87.3¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  No$35.1k @ 56.6¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$31.4k @ 67.0¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
  No$25.4k @ 71.3¢
• Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$11.0k @ 75.6¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$10.1k @ 48.0¢
• Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$4.4k @ 91.0¢
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  No$1.8k @ 87.8¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Culture
  No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 34.5¢
• Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech
  Yes$292 @ 49.1¢
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics
  Yes$199 @ 46.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$163 @ 39.0¢
• Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Culture
  No$33 @ 82.0¢
• Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture
  Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
  Yes$2 @ 40.0¢