0xe759…e7ca

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe7590338d435112c032e3ea51ff3d08a27a1e7ca
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+9.2pp

ROI

+17%

Win rate

66% @ 57.0¢

Brier

0.137

Resolved

953

Avg size

$135

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (87/151)	+17%	151
Politics	67% (22/33)	+19%	33

Other151 bets
Hit rate
58% (87/151)
ROI
+17%
Politics33 bets
Hit rate
67% (22/33)
ROI
+19%

Track record

59% hit · 109/184

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?	Yes	$39	89.9¢	Won
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$295	87.8¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$22	97.1¢	Won
Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$460	92.0¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$1.1k	93.4¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	$150	94.2¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	$698	87.3¢	Won
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	No	$697	84.0¢	Won
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$36	18.0¢	Lost
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	$406	61.7¢	Lost
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	Yes	$676	87.8¢	Won
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	Yes	$3	1.5¢	Lost
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?	Yes	$110	10.0¢	Lost
Latvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 20%+?	Yes	$52	55.9¢	Won
Erdoğan out in 2025?	No	$433	86.6¢	Won
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?	No	$30	15.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?	No	$400	60.2¢	Lost
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?	Yes	$220	38.1¢	Lost
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$248	62.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?	No	$4	49.0¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$763	80.0¢	Won
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	$255	85.0¢	Won
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?	No	$400	75.7¢	Won
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$1000	33.8¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$3.4k	74.9¢	Won
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?	No	$50	11.3¢	Lost
Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?	Yes	$192	48.0¢	Won
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	No	$180	45.0¢	Lost
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	$1.6k	76.7¢	Won
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$70	45.0¢	Lost
Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?	No	$600	85.7¢	Won
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?	Yes	$220	24.2¢	Lost
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?	No	$0	80.0¢	Won
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$122	61.0¢	Won
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?	No	$332	66.4¢	Lost
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$200	61.5¢	Won
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	Over	$134	67.0¢	Lost
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?	No	$1.1k	81.1¢	Won
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$103	29.0¢	Lost
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	No	$504	56.0¢	Lost
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?	Yes	$840	71.6¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$5.1k	78.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$102	25.4¢	Lost
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?	Yes	$78	39.0¢	Lost
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	$41	36.0¢	Won
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?	Yes	$35	35.0¢	Lost
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$316	72.9¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$2.0k	79.6¢	Won
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	Yes	$900	60.6¢	Won
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?	No	$225	75.0¢	Won

Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Won
Yes$39 @ 89.9¢
Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$295 @ 87.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$22 @ 97.1¢
Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$460 @ 92.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$1.1k @ 93.4¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Won
Yes$150 @ 94.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Won
No$698 @ 87.3¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
No$697 @ 84.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Lost
Yes$36 @ 18.0¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Lost
No$406 @ 61.7¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Won
Yes$676 @ 87.8¢
Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 1.5¢
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Lost
Yes$110 @ 10.0¢
Latvia parliamentary election vote share margin of victory: AS 20%+?Won
Yes$52 @ 55.9¢
Erdoğan out in 2025?Won
No$433 @ 86.6¢
Will turnout in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election be less than 34%?Lost
No$30 @ 15.0¢
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Lost
No$400 @ 60.2¢
Will turnout be more than 69% in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$220 @ 38.1¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Lost
No$248 @ 62.0¢
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Won
No$4 @ 49.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$763 @ 80.0¢
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Won
Yes$255 @ 85.0¢
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?Won
No$400 @ 75.7¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Lost
No$1000 @ 33.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 74.9¢
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election? Lost
No$50 @ 11.3¢
Starostové (STAN) wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Won
Yes$192 @ 48.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Lost
No$180 @ 45.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 76.7¢
Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$70 @ 45.0¢
Will Motoristé get more than 9% of the vote in the Czech election?Won
No$600 @ 85.7¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?Lost
Yes$220 @ 24.2¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?Won
No$0 @ 80.0¢
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Won
Yes$122 @ 61.0¢
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
No$332 @ 66.4¢
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?Won
Yes$200 @ 61.5¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Lost
Over$134 @ 67.0¢
Will Ciprian Ciucu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?Won
No$1.1k @ 81.1¢
Will SPOLU get between 17% and 20% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$103 @ 29.0¢
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Lost
No$504 @ 56.0¢
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?Won
Yes$840 @ 71.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
No$5.1k @ 78.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$102 @ 25.4¢
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?Lost
Yes$78 @ 39.0¢
Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Won
No$41 @ 36.0¢
Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?Lost
Yes$35 @ 35.0¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$316 @ 72.9¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 79.6¢
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?Won
Yes$900 @ 60.6¢
Will Motoristé get between 3% and 5% of the vote in the Czech election?Won
No$225 @ 75.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$312	78.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$310	77.6¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$279	34.8¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Politics	Yes	$256	64.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Politics	Yes	$231	77.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	No	$216	35.9¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Politics	Yes	$193	24.1¢
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$160	80.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Politics	No	$141	64.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Politics	No	$83	26.8¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	No	$30	15.0¢

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$312 @ 78.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$310 @ 77.6¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$279 @ 34.8¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics
Yes$256 @ 64.0¢
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics
Yes$231 @ 77.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
No$216 @ 35.9¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics
Yes$193 @ 24.1¢
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics
No$141 @ 64.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Politics
No$83 @ 26.8¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 15.0¢