← Smart money
0xcdaf…eff6
SharpEdge
+8.1pp
ROI
+7%
Win rate
48% @ 39.7¢
Brier
0.177
Resolved
619
Avg size
$38
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 47% (58/124) | +18% | 124 |
| Politics | 30% (10/33) | -13% | 33 |
| Sports | 13% (1/8) | -34% | 8 |
- Other124 bets
- Hit rate
- 47% (58/124)
- ROI
- +18%
- Politics33 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (10/33)
- ROI
- -13%
- Sports8 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (1/8)
- ROI
- -34%
Track record
42% hit · 69/165- Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$112 @ 44.8¢
- Yes$120 @ 29.1¢
- Kansas$8 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$28 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$105 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$100 @ 33.2¢
- Yes$122 @ 59.7¢
- Timberwolves$10 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$109 @ 43.6¢
- Yes$209 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$165 @ 26.5¢
- Yes$36 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$86 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$831 @ 68.9¢
- Yes$109 @ 36.6¢
- Yes$447 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$26 @ 10.2¢
- No$111 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 11.8¢
- No$131 @ 32.5¢
- Yes$249 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$336 @ 61.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$147 @ 58.8¢
- Yes$122 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$19 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$90 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 14.3¢
- No$127 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$162 @ 43.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 3.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$127 @ 50.6¢
- Yes$137 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$165 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$79 @ 28.1¢
- Yes$34 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$345 @ 78.8¢
- No$220 @ 44.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $805 | 87.5¢ |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $563 | 59.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | Politics | Yes | $169 | 45.1¢ |
| Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $130 | 17.4¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $113 | 45.3¢ |
| Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $74 | 35.4¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $62 | 62.2¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 51.3¢ |
| Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Culture | Yes | $10 | 0.5¢ |
| Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Politics | Yes | $4 | 4.1¢ |
- Yes$805 @ 87.5¢
- Yes$563 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$169 @ 45.1¢
- Yes$130 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$113 @ 45.3¢
- Yes$74 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$62 @ 62.2¢
- Yes$51 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$4 @ 4.1¢