0xf205…90b7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf20517b9298f7782330b1f69367470e38da990b7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.8pp

ROI

+34%

Win rate

78% @ 58.4¢

Brier

0.109

Resolved

Avg size

$100

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	60% (6/10)	+8%	10
Politics	100% (5/5)	+44%	5
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
+8%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
100% (5/5)
ROI
+44%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

69% hit · 11/16

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	Yes	$96	96.0¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	Yes	$48	96.0¢	Won
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$3.4k	68.4¢	Won
Will Norway win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?	Yes	$79	79.0¢	Won
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$24	23.0¢	Lost
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$435	72.5¢	Won
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	$31	5.5¢	Lost
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?	Yes	$190	20.2¢	Lost
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?	Yes	$18	8.9¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	No	$89	89.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	$76	76.0¢	Won
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	$610	85.5¢	Won
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?	No	$100	83.0¢	Won
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$23	64.6¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$210	63.7¢	Lost
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?	Yes	$175	30.0¢	Won

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?Won
Yes$96 @ 96.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Won
Yes$48 @ 96.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$3.4k @ 68.4¢
Will Norway win the 2025 IHF Women’s World Championship?Won
Yes$79 @ 79.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$24 @ 23.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
Yes$435 @ 72.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Lost
Yes$31 @ 5.5¢
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?Lost
Yes$190 @ 20.2¢
Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?Lost
Yes$18 @ 8.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Won
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Won
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Won
No$610 @ 85.5¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?Won
No$100 @ 83.0¢
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$23 @ 64.6¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Lost
Yes$210 @ 63.7¢
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?Won
Yes$175 @ 30.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$137	91.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$100	61.7¢
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?	Politics	Yes	$96	96.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$92	92.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Politics	Yes	$49	49.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	Other	No	$39	98.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Politics	Yes	$27	26.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Other	Yes	$22	36.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Politics	Yes	$11	11.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$137 @ 91.0¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$100 @ 61.7¢
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?Politics
Yes$96 @ 96.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics
No$92 @ 92.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Politics
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?Other
No$39 @ 98.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics
Yes$27 @ 26.7¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Other
Yes$22 @ 36.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Politics
Yes$11 @ 11.0¢