0x23d8…0288

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics113 bets

  Hit rate

  52% (59/113)

  ROI

  +43%

• Other46 bets

  Hit rate

  37% (17/46)

  ROI

  -32%

• Sports7 bets

  Hit rate

  43% (3/7)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolitics1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$789 @ 97.0¢
• Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5Lost
  Over$49.0k @ 49.0¢
• Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Won
  Yes$606 @ 53.2¢
• Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$2.6k @ 82.4¢
• Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
  Yes$7.4k @ 30.4¢
• Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  Yes$154 @ 54.0¢
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  Yes$386 @ 5.1¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Lost
  Yes$91 @ 3.0¢
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
  Yes$159.0k @ 74.9¢
• Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Won
  Nottingham Forest FC$56.0k @ 56.0¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$5.6k @ 31.2¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$62.4k @ 40.8¢
• Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Won
  Yes$179 @ 20.8¢
• Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Won
  M$1.2k @ 23.1¢
• Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  No$322 @ 87.0¢
• Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$543 @ 10.6¢
• Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Won
  Yes$12.2k @ 76.1¢
• Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$952 @ 50.0¢
• Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$42 @ 32.8¢
• Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 13.0¢
• Will AfD win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
  No$836 @ 67.7¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
  Yes$6.8k @ 0.9¢
• Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
  Yes$25.3k @ 63.0¢
• Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Lost
  No$700 @ 5.0¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$2.8k @ 56.0¢
• Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
  Yes$2.0k @ 30.5¢
• Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 5.2¢
• Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Won
  No$16.6k @ 86.8¢
• Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Lost
  Yes$1.4k @ 50.8¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
  Yes$91 @ 2.6¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Won
  Yes$33.1k @ 48.4¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Lost
  No$1.2k @ 9.9¢
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$4.3k @ 87.0¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
  No$14.6k @ 83.4¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$536 @ 10.1¢
• Will Argentina vs. Benin end in a draw?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
• Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Won
  Yes$124 @ 13.9¢
• Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Lost
  No$42 @ 8.9¢
• Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  Yes$644 @ 84.0¢
• Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Lost
  Opp.$1.9k @ 47.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$8.7k @ 87.0¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Won
  No$3.0k @ 78.2¢
• Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Lost
  Yes$6.2k @ 19.6¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
  Yes$6.0k @ 3.2¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
  Yes$8.0k @ 10.4¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Won
  Yes$1.4k @ 68.8¢
• Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Won
  Yes$308 @ 24.9¢
• Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Lost
  No$145 @ 20.8¢
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$6.2k @ 49.2¢
• Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Won
  Yes$6.3k @ 81.0¢

Current positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$316.1k @ 63.6¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  No$70.1k @ 90.3¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  No$44.9k @ 86.4¢
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$40.4k @ 50.8¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$33.0k @ 82.2¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$28.0k @ 86.2¢
• Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Politics
  Yes$20.2k @ 9.0¢
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics
  Yes$20.1k @ 29.7¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
  Yes$15.3k @ 35.9¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  No$13.2k @ 74.0¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$13.1k @ 72.6¢
• Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$12.9k @ 16.8¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
  No$12.8k @ 64.0¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  No$11.4k @ 53.6¢
• Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$11.0k @ 74.8¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  No$10.7k @ 76.2¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$9.6k @ 16.3¢
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
  No$9.2k @ 45.0¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics
  No$7.4k @ 62.5¢
• Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
  Yes$6.6k @ 23.2¢
• Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$6.1k @ 59.7¢
• Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.7k @ 57.0¢
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$5.7k @ 55.0¢
• Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics
  No$5.3k @ 56.7¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$5.0k @ 24.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics
  No$4.5k @ 41.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.5k @ 41.3¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Politics
  Yes$4.4k @ 64.0¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.4k @ 73.0¢
• Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  Yes$4.3k @ 72.7¢