0x58a0…fc21

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x58a0dfd1d3d95a2bbf89da44b5edffa2033dfc21
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.7pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

77% @ 54.6¢

Brier

0.149

Resolved

Avg size

$351

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	74% (14/19)	+25%	19

Politics19 bets
Hit rate
74% (14/19)
ROI
+25%

Track record

74% hit · 14/19

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Yes	$180	89.9¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$935	76.9¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	$376	82.0¢	Won
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?	Yes	$1.0k	62.0¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?	Yes	$569	25.2¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	$1.0k	76.9¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	$3	10.6¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	$155	48.1¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	$2	6.3¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	No	$26	31.2¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	$1.0k	84.3¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	$1.7k	33.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	$1.0k	58.1¢	Lost
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	No	$535	89.7¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?	Yes	$3.4k	53.6¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	$126	47.6¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?	Yes	$448	27.3¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$2.9k	72.1¢	Won
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	$4	77.5¢	Won

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
Yes$180 @ 89.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$935 @ 76.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Won
No$376 @ 82.0¢
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 62.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Lost
Yes$569 @ 25.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?Won
No$1.0k @ 76.9¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.6¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Won
No$155 @ 48.1¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Lost
Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Won
No$26 @ 31.2¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Won
No$1.0k @ 84.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Lost
Yes$1.7k @ 33.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Lost
No$1.0k @ 58.1¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Won
No$535 @ 89.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?Won
Yes$3.4k @ 53.6¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Won
Yes$126 @ 47.6¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of Rio de Janeiro?Won
Yes$448 @ 27.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 72.1¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?Won
Yes$4 @ 77.5¢

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