← Smart money
0x264c…baca
SharpEdge
+13.2pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
56% @ 42.9¢
Brier
0.206
Resolved
1489
Avg size
$266
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 30% (67/222) | +33% | 222 |
| Other | 20% (34/166) | -47% | 166 |
| Sports | 51% (22/43) | +23% | 43 |
| Geopolitics | 40% (2/5) | -60% | 5 |
| Economy | 50% (1/2) | +58% | 2 |
| Business | 100% (2/2) | +56% | 2 |
- Politics222 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (67/222)
- ROI
- +33%
- Other166 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (34/166)
- ROI
- -47%
- Sports43 bets
- Hit rate
- 51% (22/43)
- ROI
- +23%
- Geopolitics5 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (2/5)
- ROI
- -60%
- Economy2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +58%
- Business2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +56%
Track record
29% hit · 128/440- Yes$1.4k @ 14.1¢
- Down$431 @ 71.9¢
- Up$375 @ 15.0¢
- T1$353 @ 35.3¢
- Down$72 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
- No$565 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$680 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$144 @ 4.8¢
- Up$72 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 5.6¢
- Down$10 @ 20.1¢
- Under$2 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$70 @ 71.0¢
- Up$72 @ 18.0¢
- No$394 @ 78.8¢
- Down$79 @ 40.0¢
- Down$55 @ 27.6¢
- Up$72 @ 18.0¢
- No$50 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$51 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$100 @ 1.7¢
- Up$21 @ 30.0¢
- Down$72 @ 18.0¢
- Down$72 @ 18.0¢
- Down$375 @ 15.0¢
- No$213 @ 85.0¢
- Up$30 @ 19.1¢
- Up$887 @ 9.5¢
- Down$35 @ 17.5¢
- Up$375 @ 15.0¢
- Up$72 @ 18.0¢
- Down$66 @ 32.8¢
- Yes$21 @ 3.0¢
- Top Esports$450 @ 45.0¢
- T1$337 @ 33.7¢
- Down$290 @ 28.1¢
- No$400 @ 80.0¢
- Down$15 @ 60.0¢
- Up$11 @ 11.0¢
- No$420 @ 84.0¢
- Up$13 @ 42.9¢
- Down$6 @ 64.0¢
- No$0 @ 1.0¢
- Up$10 @ 51.5¢
- Up$72 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$456 @ 37.8¢
- Dplus KIA$419 @ 41.9¢
- Down$25 @ 7.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$19.7k @ 98.3¢
- Yes$16.4k @ 90.8¢
- No$9.7k @ 97.0¢
- No$6.1k @ 75.8¢
- Yes$5.9k @ 45.6¢
- No$3.5k @ 87.4¢
- No$3.1k @ 96.1¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYes$3.1k @ 37.3¢
- Movistar KOI$1.8k @ 28.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
- No$1.7k @ 86.2¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 14.1¢
- T1$1.1k @ 57.0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?PoliticsYes$992 @ 9.9¢
- No$902 @ 90.2¢
- Up$887 @ 9.5¢
- T1$879 @ 44.0¢
- Karmine Corp$770 @ 77.0¢
- Yes$680 @ 34.0¢
- No$660 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$602 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$580 @ 96.3¢
- No$565 @ 18.8¢
- Yes$544 @ 28.6¢
- Weibo Gaming$460 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$456 @ 37.8¢
- Top Esports$450 @ 45.0¢
- Down$431 @ 71.9¢
- Yes$427 @ 42.7¢
- No$422 @ 84.4¢