← Market consensus

PoliticsActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

24.5¢

No

75.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 5 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 65%No 35%

5 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xaab9…a08d	Yes	$3.4k	37.0¢	49×	+28%	49%	Sharp
0x8454…331a	No	$1.2k	58.5¢	5.8×	+14%	41%	Sharp
0x69ea…15cd	No	$794	73.0¢	1.8×	+18%	99%	Sharp
0xc254…3f73	Yes	$250	25.0¢	1.0×	+10%	72%	Sharp
0xb220…5f71	No	$24	70.3¢	2.6×	+22%	73%	Sharp

0xaab9…a08dSharp

Yes$3.4k @ 37.0¢

Conv: 49×
ROI: +28%
Win%: 49%

0x8454…331aSharp

No$1.2k @ 58.5¢

Conv: 5.8×
ROI: +14%
Win%: 41%

0x69ea…15cdSharp

No$794 @ 73.0¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +18%
Win%: 99%

0xc254…3f73Sharp

Yes$250 @ 25.0¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 72%

0xb220…5f71Sharp

No$24 @ 70.3¢

Conv: 2.6×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 73%