← Smart money
0x4337…8882
SharpEdge
-3.7pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
32% @ 35.5¢
Brier
0.162
Resolved
2287
Avg size
$394
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 43% (65/151) | -4% | 151 |
| Sports | 38% (25/66) | +16% | 66 |
| Politics | 40% (23/58) | +11% | 58 |
| Culture | 44% (22/50) | -3% | 50 |
| Tech | 44% (12/27) | +21% | 27 |
| Economy | 53% (9/17) | +17% | 17 |
| Crypto | 22% (2/9) | -11% | 9 |
| Business | 38% (3/8) | -12% | 8 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | +438% | 2 |
- Other151 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (65/151)
- ROI
- -4%
- Sports66 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (25/66)
- ROI
- +16%
- Politics58 bets
- Hit rate
- 40% (23/58)
- ROI
- +11%
- Culture50 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (22/50)
- ROI
- -3%
- Tech27 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (12/27)
- ROI
- +21%
- Economy17 bets
- Hit rate
- 53% (9/17)
- ROI
- +17%
- Crypto9 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (2/9)
- ROI
- -11%
- Business8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- -12%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +438%
Track record
42% hit · 162/388- No$291 @ 69.5¢
- No$1.8k @ 73.0¢
- No$750 @ 74.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 14.3¢
- Luminosity$8.7k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 78.0¢
- Titans$9.8k @ 44.0¢
- No$57 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$124 @ 56.0¢
- No$14 @ 67.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
- No$3.4k @ 41.0¢
- No$1 @ 8.0¢
- TYLOO$4.9k @ 44.0¢
- No$519 @ 30.4¢
- No$89 @ 80.0¢
- No$175 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 14.9¢
- No$32 @ 76.3¢
- Astralis$10.4k @ 45.0¢
- Chiefs$24.0k @ 72.0¢
- Colts vs. ChiefsLostColts$15.8k @ 28.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 23.0¢
- No$8 @ 55.0¢
- No$18 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 7.0¢
- Over$5.8k @ 52.0¢
- No$118.8k @ 42.8¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$18.0k @ 40.5¢
- Under$111 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
- No$15 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.7¢
- No$29 @ 46.4¢
- XLG Gaming$6.4k @ 14.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$111 @ 50.0¢
- No$107 @ 48.0¢
- No$18 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 13.4¢
- Movistar KOI$3.6k @ 32.0¢
- Saudi Arabia$5 @ 0.2¢
- New Mexico$284 @ 8.0¢
- G2 Esports$9.3k @ 42.0¢
- Karmine Corp$1.2k @ 44.5¢
- No$46 @ 68.0¢
- Invictus Gaming$996 @ 60.0¢
- Shopify Rebellion$1.5k @ 35.0¢
- No$4 @ 8.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$421.5k @ 94.6¢
- No$98.5k @ 95.4¢
- No$56.4k @ 84.7¢
- No$50.0k @ 83.6¢
- No$28.9k @ 84.7¢
- No$20.3k @ 73.5¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$19.6k @ 62.0¢
- No$17.6k @ 89.8¢
- No$13.9k @ 51.4¢
- No$10.4k @ 80.0¢
- Luminosity$8.7k @ 39.0¢
- No$8.3k @ 68.7¢
- No$7.7k @ 83.7¢
- No$7.6k @ 34.0¢
- No$7.1k @ 88.4¢
- No$6.9k @ 33.9¢
- No$6.8k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$6.5k @ 63.0¢
- No$6.2k @ 88.9¢
- No$5.5k @ 87.2¢
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?ScienceNo$5.3k @ 96.0¢
- No$5.2k @ 66.5¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 53.0¢
- No$4.9k @ 84.4¢
- No$4.6k @ 90.0¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 36.7¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 56.7¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 36.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 44.8¢
- No$3.7k @ 95.8¢