0x69ea…15cd

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics8 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (8/8)

  ROI

  +22%

• Other5 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (4/5)

  ROI

  +17%

• Geopolitics4 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (4/4)

  ROI

  +17%

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Won
  No$5.4k @ 88.6¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$699 @ 83.9¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
  Yes$979 @ 77.8¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
  No$5.1k @ 86.1¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$1.1k @ 45.2¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$8.3k @ 87.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$16.2k @ 87.6¢
• Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?Won
  Yes$91 @ 87.0¢
• Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$97 @ 87.0¢
• Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  No$49 @ 83.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Won
  No$7.1k @ 77.9¢
• Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$1.9k @ 81.0¢
• Iran leadership change by April 30?Won
  No$5.2k @ 77.1¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$2.6k @ 87.2¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Won
  No$29.5k @ 82.6¢
• Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Won
  Yes$141 @ 47.0¢
• President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?Won
  No$1.1k @ 99.0¢

Current positions

• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$24.9k @ 98.2¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$584 @ 74.1¢