← Smart money
0x69ea…15cd
SharpEdge
+19.6pp
ROI
+18%
Win rate
99% @ 79.6¢
Brier
0.049
Resolved
242
Avg size
$410
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (8/8) | +22% | 8 |
| Other | 80% (4/5) | +17% | 5 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (4/4) | +17% | 4 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (8/8)
- ROI
- +22%
- Other5 bets
- Hit rate
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +17%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (4/4)
- ROI
- +17%
Track record
94% hit · 16/17- No$5.4k @ 88.6¢
- No$699 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$979 @ 77.8¢
- No$5.1k @ 86.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 45.2¢
- Yes$8.3k @ 87.6¢
- No$16.2k @ 87.6¢
- Yes$91 @ 87.0¢
- No$97 @ 87.0¢
- No$49 @ 83.0¢
- No$7.1k @ 77.9¢
- No$1.9k @ 81.0¢
- No$5.2k @ 77.1¢
- No$2.6k @ 87.2¢
- No$29.5k @ 82.6¢
- Yes$141 @ 47.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 99.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | Geopolitics | No | $33.0k | 98.8¢ |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | Geopolitics | No | $20.1k | 95.4¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026? | — | No | $946 | 97.7¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Politics | No | $794 | 73.0¢ |
| Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July? | — | No | $344 | 97.2¢ |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July? | — | No | $133 | 96.0¢ |
| Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July? | — | No | $84 | 92.0¢ |
- No$33.0k @ 98.8¢
- No$20.1k @ 95.4¢
- No$946 @ 97.7¢
- No$794 @ 73.0¢
- No$344 @ 97.2¢
- No$133 @ 96.0¢
- No$84 @ 92.0¢