0x6c17…6a7e

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other204 bets

  Hit rate

  60% (123/204)

  ROI

  -3%

• Politics54 bets

  Hit rate

  74% (40/54)

  ROI

  +14%

• Geopolitics21 bets

  Hit rate

  81% (17/21)

  ROI

  +25%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$500 @ 88.0¢
• Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  No$627 @ 85.3¢
• Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Won
  Yes$951 @ 84.5¢
• Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out in 2025?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 3.1¢
• Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 6.8¢
• Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Won
  No$32 @ 83.0¢
• Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
  Yes$73 @ 8.0¢
• Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Won
  No$114 @ 89.9¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$16 @ 3.3¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Won
  No$701 @ 86.2¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Won
  Yes$360 @ 40.3¢
• Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
  Yes$243 @ 24.3¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Won
  No$400 @ 80.0¢
• Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
  No$1.6k @ 87.3¢
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Won
  No$2.0k @ 83.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Lost
  Yes$1.0k @ 25.7¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Lost
  No$1.8k @ 83.8¢
• Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$200 @ 83.5¢
• Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?Won
  No$150 @ 56.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Lost
  No$81 @ 22.0¢
• US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Lost
  No$250 @ 78.5¢
• Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Lost
  No$230 @ 69.0¢
• Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?Won
  Yes$50 @ 33.8¢
• Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 3.5¢
• Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
  No$910 @ 79.5¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?Won
  No$1.6k @ 89.5¢
• Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  No$51 @ 86.0¢
• Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-10-12?Lost
  No$221 @ 89.1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Won
  No$750 @ 86.4¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
  No$800 @ 85.6¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$240 @ 8.0¢
• Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
  No$119 @ 71.6¢
• France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
  No$450 @ 77.2¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Won
  No$391 @ 87.5¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Won
  No$328 @ 79.6¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?Won
  Yes$56 @ 15.1¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
  No$350 @ 73.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?Won
  Yes$287 @ 82.5¢
• Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$50 @ 13.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$200 @ 38.0¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  No$2.1k @ 87.8¢
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Won
  No$400 @ 87.5¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
  Yes$720 @ 77.0¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
  Yes$701 @ 36.1¢
• Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2025?Won
  No$126 @ 81.6¢
• Iran leadership change by May 31?Won
  No$200 @ 86.0¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
  No$500 @ 64.8¢
• US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
  Yes$69 @ 7.0¢

Current positions

• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$4.4k @ 84.8¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$4.1k @ 67.7¢
• Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?Politics
  No$2.5k @ 74.8¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Politics
  No$2.2k @ 84.8¢
• Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics
  No$2.1k @ 76.8¢
• Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.6k @ 41.3¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Politics
  No$1.3k @ 72.2¢
• Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?Other
  No$1.2k @ 82.6¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolitics
  Yes$1.2k @ 40.7¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics
  Yes$1.0k @ 34.4¢
• Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$920 @ 30.7¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$841 @ 72.6¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$750 @ 85.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
  No$633 @ 89.1¢
• Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$558 @ 90.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$546 @ 86.4¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
• Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Politics
  No$199 @ 25.9¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$150 @ 62.8¢
• Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$53 @ 0.5¢