0xcc79…1c2a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+1.7pp

ROI

+14%

Win rate

27% @ 25.6¢

Brier

0.078

Resolved

3431

Avg size

$37

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (112/224)	+4%	224
Politics	53% (39/73)	+15%	73
Tech	55% (17/31)	+21%	31
Geopolitics	56% (14/25)	+11%	25
Crypto	47% (7/15)	+81%	15
Economy	60% (3/5)	-10%	5
Culture	33% (1/3)	-28%	3
Sports	50% (1/2)	-53%	2

Other224 bets
Hit rate
50% (112/224)
ROI
+4%
Politics73 bets
Hit rate
53% (39/73)
ROI
+15%
Tech31 bets
Hit rate
55% (17/31)
ROI
+21%
Geopolitics25 bets
Hit rate
56% (14/25)
ROI
+11%
Crypto15 bets
Hit rate
47% (7/15)
ROI
+81%
Economy5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-10%
Culture3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-28%
Sports2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-53%

Track record

51% hit · 194/378

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	No	$175	47.6¢	Lost
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?	Yes	$554	72.0¢	Won
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	No	$687	80.9¢	Lost
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$87	87.7¢	Won
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?	Yes	$231	51.3¢	Won
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$1.3k	63.0¢	Lost
No airdrop in 2025?	No	$341	72.2¢	Won
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$405	40.5¢	Won
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?	No	$171	57.0¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$66	22.0¢	Lost
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$566	70.1¢	Won
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	No	$178	89.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?	No	$450	45.0¢	Lost
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$130	22.7¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$853	77.5¢	Won
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	No	$84	21.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?	Yes	$158	79.0¢	Won
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Lost
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?	No	$233	85.0¢	Won
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$302	70.1¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$210	70.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$119	17.0¢	Won
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	$5	84.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$74	37.0¢	Won
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	No	$222	55.5¢	Won
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$392	3.3¢	Lost
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?	No	$68	10.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$48	24.0¢	Won
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?	Yes	$11	2.7¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	$195	65.0¢	Won
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$170	85.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Lost
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$13	0.3¢	Lost
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$150	3.7¢	Lost
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	$10	2.5¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	$840	84.0¢	Won
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$78	3.9¢	Lost
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Lost
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?	No	$152	76.0¢	Won
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?	No	$5	85.0¢	Won
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?	No	$168	28.0¢	Lost
X Money launch in 2025?	Yes	$230	46.0¢	Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?	Yes	$230	46.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	Yes	$850	85.0¢	Won
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$42	21.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$660	66.0¢	Won
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	$1.3k	88.5¢	Won

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Lost
No$175 @ 47.6¢
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?Won
Yes$554 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Lost
No$687 @ 80.9¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
No$87 @ 87.7¢
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?Won
Yes$231 @ 51.3¢
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
Yes$1.3k @ 63.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Won
No$341 @ 72.2¢
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$405 @ 40.5¢
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?Lost
No$171 @ 57.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$66 @ 22.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Won
No$566 @ 70.1¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Won
No$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Lost
No$450 @ 45.0¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$130 @ 22.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$853 @ 77.5¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Lost
No$84 @ 21.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?Won
Yes$158 @ 79.0¢
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?Won
No$233 @ 85.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Won
Yes$302 @ 70.1¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Won
No$210 @ 70.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Won
Yes$119 @ 17.0¢
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?Won
No$5 @ 84.0¢
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Won
No$222 @ 55.5¢
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$392 @ 3.3¢
Isar Aerospace successful orbital launch in 2025?Won
No$68 @ 10.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Won
Yes$48 @ 24.0¢
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Lost
Yes$11 @ 2.7¢
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?Won
No$195 @ 65.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Won
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Lost
Yes$13 @ 0.3¢
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Lost
Yes$150 @ 3.7¢
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Lost
Yes$10 @ 2.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Won
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
Yes$78 @ 3.9¢
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Won
No$152 @ 76.0¢
Will SpaceX raise between $40B and $50B in its IPO?Won
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will Zcash flip Monero by December 31?Lost
No$168 @ 28.0¢
X Money launch in 2025?Lost
Yes$230 @ 46.0¢
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?Won
Yes$230 @ 46.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Won
Yes$850 @ 85.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Lost
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Won
No$660 @ 66.0¢
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Won
No$1.3k @ 88.5¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
New pandemic in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$21.4k	88.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$14.7k	86.6¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	No	$10.0k	94.3¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tech	No	$9.1k	92.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$8.5k	93.6¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	No	$7.8k	94.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$6.0k	89.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	Politics	No	$5.9k	97.4¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Politics	No	$5.8k	95.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$5.3k	87.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$4.2k	84.4¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tech	No	$4.2k	81.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Business	No	$3.8k	96.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$3.7k	93.4¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	Culture	No	$3.1k	97.4¢
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?	Economy	No	$2.5k	95.3¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Politics	No	$2.5k	82.7¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.5k	82.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.5k	81.7¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$2.2k	92.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Politics	No	$2.1k	92.7¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$2.0k	39.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	Business	No	$2.0k	99.1¢
GTA VI released by October 31?	Culture	No	$1.9k	94.5¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Business	No	$1.9k	94.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.9k	93.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.8k	97.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	83.4¢
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?	Crypto	Yes	$1.3k	68.4¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Politics	No	$1.3k	96.2¢

New pandemic in 2026?Geopolitics
No$21.4k @ 88.0¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$14.7k @ 86.6¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
No$10.0k @ 94.3¢
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech
No$9.1k @ 92.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics
No$8.5k @ 93.6¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
No$7.8k @ 94.2¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$6.0k @ 89.0¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Politics
No$5.9k @ 97.4¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
No$5.8k @ 95.8¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$5.3k @ 87.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$4.2k @ 84.4¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech
No$4.2k @ 81.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Business
No$3.8k @ 96.7¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
No$3.7k @ 93.4¢
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture
No$3.1k @ 97.4¢
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Economy
No$2.5k @ 95.3¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
No$2.5k @ 82.7¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics
No$2.5k @ 82.6¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$2.5k @ 81.7¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$2.2k @ 92.5¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics
No$2.1k @ 92.7¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech
No$2.0k @ 39.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Business
No$2.0k @ 99.1¢
GTA VI released by October 31?Culture
No$1.9k @ 94.5¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Business
No$1.9k @ 94.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
No$1.9k @ 93.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
No$1.8k @ 97.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 83.4¢
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?Crypto
Yes$1.3k @ 68.4¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics
No$1.3k @ 96.2¢