← Smart money
0xb51b…b4d9
ProfitableEdge
+44.8pp
ROI
+114%
Win rate
90% @ 45.4¢
Brier
0.323
Resolved
385
Avg size
$112
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 69% (11/16) | +129% | 16 |
| Sports | 60% (6/10) | +37% | 10 |
| Other | 67% (2/3) | +32% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +141% | 1 |
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (11/16)
- ROI
- +129%
- Sports10 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (6/10)
- ROI
- +37%
- Other3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +32%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +141%
Track record
61% hit · 20/33- Yes$642 @ 86.5¢
- No$100 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$950 @ 37.5¢
- Yes$400 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 8.3¢
- No$1.9k @ 41.6¢
- No$1.1k @ 76.9¢
- No$1.3k @ 81.6¢
- Yes$200 @ 36.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 28.5¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 21.5¢
- No$10 @ 2.4¢
- No$619 @ 77.9¢
- Yes$50 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$15.8k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$400 @ 79.2¢
- Yes$9.0k @ 55.5¢
- Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 80.2¢
- No$5 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.7¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 85.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$14.2k @ 79.3¢
- No$9.3k @ 83.5¢
- No$6.7k @ 76.9¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 29.1¢
- No$5.3k @ 92.4¢
- No$4.6k @ 80.2¢
- Yes$4.1k @ 75.1¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 92.9¢
- No$3.0k @ 96.5¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?GeopoliticsNo$3.0k @ 70.1¢
- No$2.9k @ 79.8¢
- No$2.7k @ 89.4¢
- No$2.3k @ 76.6¢
- No$2.0k @ 78.1¢
- No$2.0k @ 98.7¢
- No$2.0k @ 92.0¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?GeopoliticsNo$2.0k @ 96.5¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 46.1¢
- No$1.5k @ 87.3¢
- No$1.4k @ 96.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 17.4¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 63.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 42.3¢
- Yes$932 @ 89.7¢
- Yes$868 @ 89.1¢
- No$860 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$840 @ 84.0¢
- No$840 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$660 @ 79.7¢
- No$580 @ 77.3¢