← Smart money
0xff1e…5e2d
SharpEdge
+22.7pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
91% @ 68.2¢
Brier
0.123
Resolved
453
Avg size
$374
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 89% (101/114) | +4% | 114 |
| Geopolitics | 89% (17/19) | +6% | 19 |
| Other | 91% (10/11) | +94% | 11 |
| Tech | 63% (5/8) | -21% | 8 |
| Culture | 50% (4/8) | +5% | 8 |
| Sports | 100% (3/3) | +0% | 3 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +0% | 1 |
- Politics114 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (101/114)
- ROI
- +4%
- Geopolitics19 bets
- Hit rate
- 89% (17/19)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other11 bets
- Hit rate
- 91% (10/11)
- ROI
- +94%
- Tech8 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (5/8)
- ROI
- -21%
- Culture8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +5%
- Sports3 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +0%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +0%
Track record
86% hit · 141/164- No$87 @ 96.5¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 71.0¢
- No$12.1k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$13.9k @ 74.0¢
- No$22.0k @ 72.0¢
- No$5.6k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 62.0¢
- Yes$6.1k @ 81.0¢
- No$8.4k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 59.1¢
- Yes$2.5k @ 49.1¢
- No$3.4k @ 84.0¢
- No$46 @ 74.0¢
- No$124 @ 11.5¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 71.9¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 86.0¢
- Yes$7.0k @ 79.3¢
- No$6.3k @ 71.6¢
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?LostYes$8.8k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$8.5k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$8.6k @ 98.9¢
- Yes$539 @ 97.8¢
- No$4.9k @ 30.9¢
- Yes$163 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$7 @ 35.6¢
- No$2.8k @ 86.7¢
- Yes$45 @ 63.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$14.8k @ 42.4¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 89.9¢
- Yes$7.7k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$437 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
- No$207 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$132 @ 32.0¢
- Yes$607 @ 89.6¢
- Yes$11.0k @ 79.2¢
- No$31 @ 75.0¢
- No$18.4k @ 80.0¢
- Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?WonYes$360 @ 71.5¢
- Yes$596 @ 88.1¢
- Yes$442 @ 78.6¢
- Yes$163 @ 85.0¢
- No$24 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$174 @ 98.7¢
- Yes$595 @ 96.1¢
- Yes$366 @ 97.6¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 98.8¢
- No$15.5k @ 92.9¢
- Yes$329 @ 98.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $126.8k | 84.2¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $31.5k | 70.6¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Politics | No | $28.5k | 71.2¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $26.5k | 80.7¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $22.4k | 71.0¢ |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | No | $22.0k | 72.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Politics | No | $16.4k | 80.5¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $15.5k | 74.0¢ |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Politics | No | $12.1k | 74.0¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $2.9k | 74.2¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Politics | Yes | $1.7k | 71.0¢ |
- No$126.8k @ 84.2¢
- No$31.5k @ 70.6¢
- No$28.5k @ 71.2¢
- Yes$26.5k @ 80.7¢
- Yes$22.4k @ 71.0¢
- No$22.0k @ 72.0¢
- No$16.4k @ 80.5¢
- Yes$15.5k @ 74.0¢
- No$12.1k @ 74.0¢
- Yes$2.9k @ 74.2¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 71.0¢